Zorya Luhansk
vs
Chornomorets
2 – 1 Full time
| 27′ | Maksym Boyko | ||
| 45′ | Christian Mba | ||
| 45′ | Vitaliy FaraseyenkoDanyil Alefirenko | ||
| 48′ | Igor Perduta | ||
| 57′ | Kyrylo DryshlyukDejan Popara | ||
| 57′ | sallieu bahVladlen Yurchenko | ||
| 60′ | Dejan Popara | ||
| 71′ | Domagoj jelavicAnton Glushchenko | ||
| 73′ | Kiril·PopovAndriy Khoma | ||
| 74′ | Pylyp Budkivskyi | ||
| 77′ | Artur AvagimyanDmytro Klyots | ||
| 87′ | Ivan NesterenkoIgor Gorbach | ||
| 88′ | Maksym BoykoDomagoj jelavic | ||
| 88′ | Muhammed Jobe | ||
| 89′ | Bogdan Kushnirenko | ||
| 90′ | Vasyl Kravets | ||
| 90′ | M. Jarju | ||
| 90′ | Muhammed JobeVasyl Kurko |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets
| Probability | Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Chornomorets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.4% | 31.0% | 27.6% |
| Market | 60.9% | 23.4% | 15.7% |
| Final | 56.0% | 25.3% | 18.6% |
| Edge | -4.9% | +1.9% | +3.0% |
Why Zorya Luhansk
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zorya Luhansk and Chornomorets expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.25
Zorya Luhansk and Chornomorets attack and defence ratings
Zorya Luhansk
Chornomorets
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets: result vs prediction
Zorya Luhansk 2 – 1 Chornomorets
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zorya Luhansk | 56.0% | 1.78 | -4.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zorya Luhansk | 56.0% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Chornomorets | 18.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.3% |
| No | 53.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zorya Luhansk win | 19.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 58.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 1-0 | 12.0% | |
| 0-0 | 11.9% |
Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets stats
Zorya Luhansk and Chornomorets recent form
| Zorya Luhansk |
WLDDLW |
| Chornomorets |
LDLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zorya Luhansk and Chornomorets going into this match
Zorya Luhansk record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chornomorets record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-23 | Chornomorets | Zorya Luhansk | Cup | 2-1 |
| 2024-12-14 | Zorya Luhansk | Chornomorets | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-10 | Chornomorets | Zorya Luhansk | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-14 | Zorya Luhansk | Chornomorets | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2023-11-01 | Chornomorets | Zorya Luhansk | Cup | 4-1 |
| 2023-09-30 | Chornomorets | Zorya Luhansk | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2023-04-29 | Zorya Luhansk | Chornomorets | Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2022-10-18 | Chornomorets | Zorya Luhansk | Premier League | 0-4 |
| 2021-09-19 | Zorya Luhansk | Chornomorets | Premier League | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.1%, draw 24.0%, away 16.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.61 | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 3.50 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 3.60 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.64 | 3.85 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.50 | 3.98 | 5.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48 | 4.08 | 6.35 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 3.80 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .