Ukraine Premier League Β· Β·Matchday 9

Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne

Garuda Lions Prediction: Veres Rivne

0 – 1 Predicted score Β· 15% model probability

Obolon Arena, Kyiv

Obolon'-Brovar 25%
Draw 33%
Veres Rivne 42%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Veres Rivne wins
42%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
84%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
39%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
15% of simulated outcomes

Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityObolon'-BrovarDrawVeres Rivne
Model25.0%33.4%41.6%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final25.0%33.4%41.6%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Veres Rivne

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.13 vs 0.82.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne match preview

Obolon'-Brovar faces Veres Rivne in the Ukraine Premier League with a kickoff scheduled for October 16, 2026. According to our model, Obolon'-Brovar has a 25% chance of winning, while Veres Rivne is favored at 42%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with a 15% probability. The expected goals for Obolon'-Brovar stand at 0.82, compared to Veres Rivne's 1.13.

In terms of recent form, Obolon'-Brovar has struggled with six matches without a win (D-L-L-D-D-D), while Veres Rivne has shown better performance, recording two wins in their last five matches (L-W-D-D-W-D). The probability of both teams scoring is estimated at 39%, and there is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Obolon'-Brovar ↓ / Veres Rivne β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 15% 9% 1 10% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 59%
3+ goals 31%
No goals 16%

Obolon'-Brovar and Veres Rivne expected goals

Obolon'-Brovar 0.82
Veres Rivne 1.13

Total expected goals: 1.95

Obolon'-Brovar and Veres Rivne attack and defence ratings

Obolon'-Brovar

Attack 0.60 -40%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Veres Rivne

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Before and after this match

Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Veres Rivne 41.6% 2.41 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 69.1% 1.45 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 60.9% 1.64 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 75.0% 1.33 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 58.4% 1.71 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Obolon'-Brovar25.0%
Draw33.4%
Veres Rivne41.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530.9%
Under 2.569.1%
Both teams to scoreYes39.1%
No60.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.4%
12 (either side)66.6%
X2 (draw or away)75.0%
Handicap -1Veres Rivne win18.1%
Push (exactly one goal)23.5%
Loss58.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.6%
0-114.8%
1-114.5%

Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne stats

Obolon'-Brovar and Veres Rivne recent form

newest first
Obolon'-Brovar DLLDDD
Veres Rivne LWDDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Obolon'-Brovar and Veres Rivne season so far

league record

Obolon'-Brovar record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.

Veres Rivne record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Obolon'-Brovar wins 1Draws 1Veres Rivne wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11Veres RivneObolon'-BrovarUkraine Premier League2-0
2025-10-04Obolon'-BrovarVeres RivneUkraine Premier League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Veres Rivne Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
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