Polessya
vs
Obolon'-Brovar
Garuda Lions Prediction: Polessya
2 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar
| Probability | Polessya | Draw | Obolon'-Brovar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.6% | 21.2% | 11.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 67.6% | 21.2% | 11.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Polessya
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar match preview
Polessya enters this matchup against Obolon'-Brovar with a strong probability of winning at 68%. Their recent form shows a mix of results, including four wins in their last five matches, while Obolon'-Brovar has struggled, managing only one win in their last six games. The expected goals for Polessya stand at 2.08, compared to just 0.74 for Obolon'-Brovar, indicating a significant offensive advantage for the home side.
In their last two encounters, Polessya has secured victories in both matches against Obolon'-Brovar, with no draws or wins for the visitors. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0 in favor of Polessya, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match. Both teams have a near-equal probability of scoring, with 47% for both teams to find the net.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Polessya and Obolon'-Brovar expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.82
Polessya and Obolon'-Brovar attack and defence ratings
Polessya
Obolon'-Brovar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polessya | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Polessya win | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polessya | 67.6% |
| Draw | 21.2% | |
| Obolon'-Brovar | 11.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.6% |
| No | 53.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Polessya win | 43.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 32.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 11.5% | |
| 1-1 | 10.1% |
Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar stats
Polessya and Obolon'-Brovar recent form
| Polessya |
DWWWWL |
| Obolon'-Brovar |
WDLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Polessya and Obolon'-Brovar season so far
Polessya record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Obolon'-Brovar record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.
Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Polessya | Obolon'-Brovar | Ukraine Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Obolon'-Brovar | Polessya | Ukraine Premier League | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.