Veres Rivne
vs
Kolos Kovalivka
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kolos Kovalivka
0 – 1 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka
| Probability | Veres Rivne | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.4% | 29.3% | 50.3% |
| Market | 28.0% | 29.7% | 42.3% |
| Final | 26.1% | 29.6% | 44.3% |
| Edge | -7.6% | -0.4% | +8.0% |
Why Kolos Kovalivka
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 0.83.
- The market prices Kolos Kovalivka below the model: +8.0 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka match preview
Veres Rivne faces Kolos Kovalivka in the Ukraine Premier League with the probabilities indicating a competitive matchup. Veres Rivne has a 26% chance of winning, while Kolos Kovalivka is favored at 44%, with a 30% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals for Veres Rivne stand at 0.83, compared to Kolos Kovalivka's 1.44. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-1, occurring with a 14% probability.
In terms of recent form, Veres Rivne has recorded two losses followed by a win, a draw, and another win, while Kolos Kovalivka has achieved two wins, one loss, and two draws in their last five matches. The model suggests a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% probability that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Veres Rivne and Kolos Kovalivka expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Veres Rivne and Kolos Kovalivka attack and defence ratings
Veres Rivne
Kolos Kovalivka
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolos Kovalivka | 44.3% | 2.26 | +8.0% | 2.18 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Veres Rivne | 26.1% |
| Draw | 29.6% | |
| Kolos Kovalivka | 44.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.3% |
| No | 55.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kolos Kovalivka win | 25.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 49.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 13.6% |
| 1-1 | 13.6% | |
| 0-0 | 11.5% |
Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka stats
Veres Rivne and Kolos Kovalivka recent form
| Veres Rivne |
LLWDDW |
| Kolos Kovalivka |
WWLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Veres Rivne and Kolos Kovalivka season so far
Veres Rivne record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Kolos Kovalivka record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Veres Rivne | Kolos Kovalivka | Ukraine Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Kolos Kovalivka | Veres Rivne | Ukraine Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.0%, draw 29.7%, away 42.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.29 | 3.10 | 2.18 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .