Ukraine Premier League · ·Matchday 10

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs FC Kharkiv

Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Kharkiv

0 – 1 Predicted score · 14% model probability

Tonkocheyev Stadium, Kamianets-Podilskyi

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 14%
Draw 25%
FC Kharkiv 61%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance FC Kharkiv wins
61%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
91%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
43%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
14% of simulated outcomes

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs FC Kharkiv overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs FC Kharkiv

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEpitsentr DunayivtsiDrawFC Kharkiv
Model13.6%24.9%61.5%
Market———
Final13.6%24.9%61.5%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why FC Kharkiv

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.71.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs FC Kharkiv match preview

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi faces FC Kharkiv in the Ukraine Premier League, with the model indicating a 14% chance of a home win, a 25% probability of a draw, and a 61% likelihood of an away victory. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a 14% probability. Expected goals suggest Epitsentr Dunayivtsi will score 0.71, while FC Kharkiv is projected to net 1.76.

Recent form shows Epitsentr Dunayivtsi struggling with three consecutive losses, followed by two draws, while FC Kharkiv has recorded four wins in their last six matches. In their last two encounters, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi has not secured a win against FC Kharkiv, with two draws recorded. The model estimates a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% probability that both teams will score.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Epitsentr Duna ↓ / FC Kharkiv → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 14% 13% 8% 1 12% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 9%

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and FC Kharkiv expected goals

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0.71
FC Kharkiv 1.76

Total expected goals: 2.48

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and FC Kharkiv attack and defence ratings

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 1.08 +8%

FC Kharkiv

Attack 1.34 +34%
Defence 0.67 -33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs FC Kharkiv markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Kharkiv 61.5% 1.63 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.0% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score No 56.7% 1.76 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 86.4% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 38.5% 2.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Epitsentr Dunayivtsi13.6%
Draw24.9%
FC Kharkiv61.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.0%
Under 2.555.0%
Both teams to scoreYes43.3%
No56.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)38.5%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)86.4%
Handicap -1FC Kharkiv win36.2%
Push (exactly one goal)25.2%
Loss38.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-113.8%
0-213.1%
1-111.6%

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs FC Kharkiv stats

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and FC Kharkiv recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and FC Kharkiv season so far

league record

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.

FC Kharkiv record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs FC Kharkiv head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Epitsentr Dunayivtsi wins 2Draws 0FC Kharkiv wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-16FC KharkivEpitsentr DunayivtsiUkraine Premier League1-1
2025-11-30Epitsentr DunayivtsiFC KharkivUkraine Premier League0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs FC Kharkiv odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 FC Kharkiv Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
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