Zorya Luhansk
vs
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Garuda Lions Prediction: Zorya Luhansk
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 1.00.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
| Probability | Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.1% | 28.2% | 23.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.1% | 28.2% | 23.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Zorya Luhansk
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi match preview
Zorya Luhansk hosts Epitsentr Dunayivtsi in the Ukraine Premier League on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Zorya Luhansk has a 48% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 28% and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi at 24%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Zorya Luhansk, with an expected goals tally of 1.52 for Zorya and 1.00 for Epitsentr.
In terms of recent form, Zorya Luhansk has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, while Epitsentr Dunayivtsi has struggled with five matches resulting in one draw and four losses. Historically, Zorya Luhansk has dominated their recent encounters, winning both of the last two head-to-head matches against Epitsentr Dunayivtsi.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zorya Luhansk and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
Zorya Luhansk and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi attack and defence ratings
Zorya Luhansk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zorya Luhansk | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zorya Luhansk | 48.1% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 23.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% |
| No | 49.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zorya Luhansk win | 25.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 51.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-0 | 11.0% | |
| 2-1 | 9.3% |
Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi stats
Zorya Luhansk and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi recent form
| Zorya Luhansk |
DWWLDD |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi |
LDLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zorya Luhansk and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi season so far
Zorya Luhansk record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Zorya Luhansk | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Ukraine Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Zorya Luhansk | Ukraine Premier League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.