Kolos Kovalivka
vs
Polessya
Garuda Lions Prediction: Polessya
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.14.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya
| Probability | Kolos Kovalivka | Draw | Polessya |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.3% | 24.8% | 52.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.3% | 24.8% | 52.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Polessya
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.14.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya match preview
Kolos Kovalivka faces Polessya in the Ukraine Premier League with kickoff set for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Kolos Kovalivka has a 22% chance of winning, while Polessya is favored at 53%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 10% probability. Both teams are expected to score, with a 58% likelihood, and there is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match.
In terms of recent form, Kolos Kovalivka has recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, while Polessya is on a strong run with five consecutive wins and one draw. The expected goals for Kolos Kovalivka stand at 1.14, compared to Polessya's 1.84, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kolos Kovalivka and Polessya expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.00
Kolos Kovalivka and Polessya attack and defence ratings
Kolos Kovalivka
Polessya
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polessya | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolos Kovalivka | 22.3% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Polessya | 52.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% |
| No | 41.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Polessya win | 30.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 47.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.6% |
Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya stats
Kolos Kovalivka and Polessya recent form
| Kolos Kovalivka |
WLWWLD |
| Polessya |
WWDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kolos Kovalivka and Polessya season so far
Kolos Kovalivka record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Polessya record
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Kolos Kovalivka | Polessya | Ukraine Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2025-08-10 | Polessya | Kolos Kovalivka | Ukraine Premier League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.