Livyi Bereh
vs
Bukovyna
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bukovyna
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Bukovyna is the favourite, not a value bet.
Livyi Bereh vs Bukovyna overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Livyi Bereh vs Bukovyna
| Probability | Livyi Bereh | Draw | Bukovyna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.1% | 33.7% | 29.2% |
| Market | 30.5% | 27.6% | 42.0% |
| Final | 32.1% | 29.1% | 38.8% |
| Edge | +1.7% | +1.5% | -3.2% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.7% per unit staked (our 38.8% × 2.20 − 1).
Livyi Bereh vs Bukovyna match preview
In the upcoming match between Livyi Bereh and Bukovyna, the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter, with Bukovyna holding a slight edge at 39% compared to Livyi Bereh's 32% and a 29% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline projected by the model is 0-1, occurring with an 11% probability. Additionally, the expected goals suggest Livyi Bereh may score 1.06 while Bukovyna is expected to net 0.91.
Recent form reveals Livyi Bereh's mixed results, with a record of D-L-L-W-L-D, while Bukovyna has struggled, recording D-L-D-L-D-D. In their last two head-to-head encounters, Bukovyna has won both matches, indicating a potential psychological advantage. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Livyi Bereh and Bukovyna expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.97
Livyi Bereh and Bukovyna attack and defence ratings
Livyi Bereh
Bukovyna
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Livyi Bereh vs Bukovyna markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bukovyna | 38.8% | 2.58 | -3.2% | 2.20 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livyi Bereh | 32.1% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| Bukovyna | 38.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.3% |
| No | 59.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bukovyna win | 10.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 70.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.3% |
| 1-1 | 14.8% | |
| 1-0 | 13.5% |
Livyi Bereh vs Bukovyna stats
Livyi Bereh and Bukovyna recent form
| Livyi Bereh |
DLLWLD |
| Bukovyna |
DLDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Livyi Bereh and Bukovyna season so far
Livyi Bereh record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Bukovyna record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Livyi Bereh vs Bukovyna head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | Bukovyna | Livyi Bereh | Persha Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-22 | Livyi Bereh | Bukovyna | Persha Liga | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Livyi Bereh vs Bukovyna odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.5%, draw 27.6%, away 42.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.03 | 3.35 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .