Bukovyna
vs
Kolos Kovalivka
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bukovyna
1 – 0 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Bukovyna is the favourite, not a value bet.
Bukovyna vs Kolos Kovalivka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bukovyna vs Kolos Kovalivka
| Probability | Bukovyna | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.1% | 29.1% | 35.9% |
| Market | 43.2% | 28.9% | 28.0% |
| Final | 41.1% | 28.9% | 30.0% |
| Edge | -2.0% | +0.1% | +2.0% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.19, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.9% per unit staked (our 41.1% × 2.19 − 1).
Bukovyna vs Kolos Kovalivka match preview
Bukovyna faces Kolos Kovalivka in what is expected to be a closely contested match. According to our model, Bukovyna has a 41% chance of winning, while Kolos Kovalivka stands at 31%, with a 28% probability for a draw. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Bukovyna, occurring with an 8% probability. Both teams show a decent chance of scoring, with 54% likelihood for both teams to find the net.
In terms of expected goals, Bukovyna is forecasted to score 1.27, slightly behind Kolos Kovalivka's 1.30. Recent form indicates Bukovyna is struggling with five matches without a win (D-L-D-L-D-D), while Kolos Kovalivka has a mixed record, winning three of their last six matches (W-L-W-W-L-D). The confidence grade for this matchup is C, suggesting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bukovyna and Kolos Kovalivka expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.57
Bukovyna and Kolos Kovalivka attack and defence ratings
Bukovyna
Kolos Kovalivka
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bukovyna vs Kolos Kovalivka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bukovyna | 41.1% | 2.43 | -2.0% | 2.19 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bukovyna | 41.1% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Kolos Kovalivka | 30.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% |
| No | 46.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bukovyna win | 15.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 64.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-0 | 8.9% | |
| 0-1 | 8.6% |
Bukovyna vs Kolos Kovalivka stats
Bukovyna and Kolos Kovalivka recent form
| Bukovyna |
DLDLDD |
| Kolos Kovalivka |
WLWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bukovyna and Kolos Kovalivka season so far
Bukovyna record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kolos Kovalivka record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bukovyna vs Kolos Kovalivka head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Bukovyna vs Kolos Kovalivka odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.2%, draw 28.9%, away 28.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.19 | 3.33 | 3.42 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.14 | 3.30 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.14 | 3.10 | 3.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17 | 3.06 | 3.52 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .