Ukraine Premier League Β· Β·Matchday 10

Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KR

Garuda Lions Prediction: Bukovyna

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

Bukovyna Stadium, Chernivtsi

Bukovyna 44%
Draw 25%
Kryvbas KR 31%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Bukovyna wins
44%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
66%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KR overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KR

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBukovynaDrawKryvbas KR
Model44.3%24.7%31.0%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final44.3%24.7%31.0%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Bukovyna

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.49.

Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KR match preview

In the upcoming match between Bukovyna and Kryvbas KR, the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter, with Bukovyna holding a 44% chance of winning, while Kryvbas KR has a 31% chance. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Bukovyna, with an expected goals tally of 1.81 for Bukovyna and 1.49 for Kryvbas KR.

Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Bukovyna recording a sequence of L-D-L-D-D-W and Kryvbas KR at L-D-L-D-W-L. The model forecasts a 64% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 66% probability that both teams will score, indicating an expectation for a dynamic match.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bukovyna ↓ / Kryvbas KR β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Bukovyna and Kryvbas KR expected goals

Bukovyna 1.81
Kryvbas KR 1.49

Total expected goals: 3.30

Bukovyna and Kryvbas KR attack and defence ratings

Bukovyna

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Kryvbas KR

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KR markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bukovyna 44.3% 2.26 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.1% 1.56 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 65.8% 1.52 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.3% 1.33 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 55.7% 1.79 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bukovyna44.3%
Draw24.7%
Kryvbas KR31.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.1%
Under 2.535.9%
Both teams to scoreYes65.8%
No34.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.0%
12 (either side)75.3%
X2 (draw or away)55.7%
Handicap -1Bukovyna win24.5%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss55.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.9%
2-19.0%
1-27.4%

Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KR stats

Bukovyna and Kryvbas KR recent form

newest first
Bukovyna LDLDDW
Kryvbas KR LDLDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bukovyna and Kryvbas KR season so far

league record

Bukovyna record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kryvbas KR record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KR head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KR odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Bukovyna Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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