Ukraine Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 9

Kudrivka vs Bukovyna

4 – 1 Full time

3′Denys Svityukha
16′Artur Dumanyuk
45′Denys SvityukhaOleksandr Beljaev
50′Ivan Petryak
57′Vitaliy Dakhnovskyi
58′Dmytro Semenov
59′Andriy BuskoMor Talla Gaye
59′Maksym ZaderakaDanylo Kravchuk
60′Bogdan Veklyak
69′Vitaliy GrushaMihael Klepač
69′Vitaliy DakhnovskyiE. Odinaka
71′Faites Prévu Kaya MakossoYevgeniy Smyrnyi
71′Artur DumanyukMykola Vechurko
72′Mykola Vechurko
78′Ivan PetryakRodion Plaksa
79′Raymond Owusu
82′Oleh·KozhushkoF. Babak
82′Raymond OwusuKyrylo Sigeev
89′Mihael Klepač

Obolon Arena, KyivReferee: Sergiy Zadyran

Kudrivka 20%
Draw 22%
Bukovyna 59%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

7 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
44 Possession % 56
2 Corners 7

Kudrivka vs Bukovyna overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kudrivka vs Bukovyna

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKudrivkaDrawBukovyna
Model13.7%21.7%64.6%
Market21.6%21.6%56.8%
Final19.6%21.6%58.7%
Edge-7.9%+0.1%+7.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Bukovyna

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 0.87.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Bukovyna below the model: +7.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kudrivka ↓ / Bukovyna → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 10% 11% 8% 7% 1 10% 10% 7% 6% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Kudrivka and Bukovyna expected goals

Kudrivka 0.87
Bukovyna 2.09

Total expected goals: 2.96

Kudrivka and Bukovyna attack and defence ratings

Kudrivka

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.52 +52%

Bukovyna

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kudrivka vs Bukovyna: result vs prediction

Kudrivka 4 – 1 Bukovyna

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

Kudrivka vs Bukovyna markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bukovyna 58.7% 1.70 +7.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.9% 1.76 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.0% 1.92 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 80.4% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Bukovyna win 41.3% 2.42 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kudrivka19.6%
Draw21.6%
Bukovyna58.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.9%
Under 2.543.1%
Both teams to scoreYes52.0%
No48.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)41.3%
12 (either side)78.4%
X2 (draw or away)80.4%
Handicap -1Bukovyna win41.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.2%
Loss35.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-211.3%
1-110.3%
1-29.8%

Kudrivka vs Bukovyna stats

Kudrivka and Bukovyna recent form

newest first
Kudrivka LLLLLD
Bukovyna DLDDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kudrivka and Bukovyna going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kudrivka record

  • They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Bukovyna record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kudrivka vs Bukovyna head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Kudrivka wins 0Draws 1Bukovyna wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-05-03KudrivkaBukovynaPersha Liga2-0
2025-04-06BukovynaKudrivkaPersha Liga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kudrivka vs Bukovyna odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 19.9%, draw 21.9%, away 58.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.22 4.32 1.72
Bet365 4.50 3.75 1.60
Betano 4.85 4.05 1.57
Betfair 5.50 4.20 1.44
Dafabet 4.90 4.20 1.60
Marathonbet 4.40 4.30 1.60
Pinnacle 3.91 4.35 1.68
William Hill 5.50 4.50 1.44

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.31 ▼ -1.87
X 4.31 ▲ +0.43
2 1.64 ▲ +0.14

5 snapshots recorded, from .