Ukraine Premier League Β· Β·Matchday 8

LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka

Garuda Lions Prediction: LNZ Cherkasy

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 15% model probability

Tsentralnyi Stadium, Cherkasy

LNZ Cherkasy 69%
Draw 20%
Kudrivka 11%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance LNZ Cherkasy wins
69%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
86%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
40%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
15% of simulated outcomes

LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka overview

Garuda Lions analysis: LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLNZ CherkasyDrawKudrivka
Model48.0%31.4%20.5%
Market76.1%16.1%7.7%
Final69.1%20.0%10.9%
Edge-28.1%+15.3%+12.8%

Confidence: Low

Why LNZ Cherkasy

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.29 vs 0.76.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.24, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka match preview

LNZ Cherkasy enters this match with a probability of 73% to win against Kudrivka, who sits at just 8%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of LNZ Cherkasy, with a 15% chance of occurring. The expected goals suggest a strong advantage for LNZ Cherkasy at 1.30 compared to Kudrivka's 0.75.

Recent form shows LNZ Cherkasy with a mixed record of L-W-D-L-W-L, while Kudrivka struggles with four consecutive losses followed by two draws. In their last two head-to-head encounters, LNZ Cherkasy has one win, while Kudrivka also has one victory. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

LNZ Cherkasy ↓ / Kudrivka β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 8% 1 15% 14% 2 11% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 62%
3+ goals 34%
No goals 14%

LNZ Cherkasy and Kudrivka expected goals

LNZ Cherkasy 1.29
Kudrivka 0.76

Total expected goals: 2.05

LNZ Cherkasy and Kudrivka attack and defence ratings

LNZ Cherkasy

Attack 0.65 -35%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Kudrivka

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.55 +55%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 LNZ Cherkasy 69.1% 1.45 -28.1% 1.24
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 66.3% 1.51 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 60.2% 1.66 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 89.1% 1.12 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 52.0% 1.92 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2LNZ Cherkasy69.1%
Draw20.0%
Kudrivka10.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.533.7%
Under 2.566.3%
Both teams to scoreYes39.8%
No60.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)89.1%
12 (either side)80.0%
X2 (draw or away)30.9%
Handicap -1LNZ Cherkasy win23.0%
Push (exactly one goal)25.0%
Loss52.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-015.4%
0-014.1%
1-113.9%

LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka stats

LNZ Cherkasy and Kudrivka recent form

newest first
LNZ Cherkasy LWDLWL
Kudrivka LLLLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

LNZ Cherkasy and Kudrivka season so far

league record

LNZ Cherkasy record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

Kudrivka record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1LNZ Cherkasy wins 0Draws 1Kudrivka wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-18KudrivkaLNZ CherkasyUkraine Premier League1-0
2025-11-29LNZ CherkasyKudrivkaUkraine Premier League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 76.1%, draw 16.1%, away 7.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.24 6.05 13.00
Bet365 1.20 5.50 10.00
Betfair 1.18 5.50 12.00
Dafabet 1.22 6.00 12.00
Marathonbet 1.20 5.75 13.25
Pinnacle 1.22 5.89 11.08
William Hill 1.22 5.50 12.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.22 β–² +0.13
X 5.75 β–Ό -0.50
2 12.00 β–Ό -7.00

18 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 LNZ Cherkasy Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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