Shakhtar Donetsk
vs
LNZ Cherkasy
3 – 0 Full time
| 22′ | N. Muravskyi | ||
| 28′ | P. YadeA. Dajko | ||
| 33′ | Alisson | ||
| 57′ | G. MendozaNewerton | ||
| 57′ | AlissonPedrinho | ||
| 63′ | Pedrinho | ||
| 67′ | A. YakubuM. Assinor | ||
| 68′ | D. Ledviy | ||
| 69′ | Newerton | ||
| 73′ | O. KaravaevV. Tobias | ||
| 73′ | L. TraoreKaua Elias | ||
| 74′ | A. Turan | ||
| 77′ | M. JashariB. Slyubyk | ||
| 83′ | Isaque Silva | ||
| 87′ | Isaque SilvaLuca Meirelles |
Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy
| Probability | Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | LNZ Cherkasy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.9% | 35.3% | 21.8% |
| Market | 57.6% | 25.6% | 16.8% |
| Final | 53.9% | 28.0% | 18.0% |
| Edge | -14.8% | +9.7% | +5.0% |
Why Shakhtar Donetsk
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.05 vs 0.67.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shakhtar Donetsk and LNZ Cherkasy expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.72
Shakhtar Donetsk and LNZ Cherkasy attack and defence ratings
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy: result vs prediction
Shakhtar Donetsk 3 – 0 LNZ Cherkasy
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 53.9% | 1.85 | -14.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 53.9% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| LNZ Cherkasy | 18.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 75.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.2% |
| No | 66.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shakhtar Donetsk win | 17.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.9% | |
| Loss | 57.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.0% |
| 1-0 | 17.5% | |
| 1-1 | 13.9% |
Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy stats
Shakhtar Donetsk and LNZ Cherkasy recent form
| Shakhtar Donetsk |
WDWLWW |
| LNZ Cherkasy |
WDLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shakhtar Donetsk and LNZ Cherkasy going into this match
Shakhtar Donetsk record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
LNZ Cherkasy record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | LNZ Cherkasy | Shakhtar Donetsk | Ukraine Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2026-02-10 | LNZ Cherkasy | Shakhtar Donetsk | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Shakhtar Donetsk | LNZ Cherkasy | Ukraine Premier League | 1-4 |
| 2025-04-11 | LNZ Cherkasy | Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League | 1-4 |
| 2024-10-06 | Shakhtar Donetsk | LNZ Cherkasy | Premier League | 5-1 |
| 2024-04-27 | LNZ Cherkasy | Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2023-10-21 | Shakhtar Donetsk | LNZ Cherkasy | Premier League | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.6%, draw 25.6%, away 16.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 3.77 | 5.75 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.45 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.58 | 3.60 | 5.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 3.61 | 5.71 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 3.50 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .