Polessya
vs
Kryvbas KR
1 – 0 Full time
| 6′ | I. Krasnopir | ||
| 46′ | Y. RivasO. Kamenskyi | ||
| 46′ | A. SeckB. Lin | ||
| 48′ | D. Pidgurskyi | ||
| 56′ | O. FedorM. Bragaru | ||
| 56′ | V. VeletenLeandro Andrade | ||
| 62′ | V. MulykS. Satchwell | ||
| 63′ | L. EmerllahuI. Krasniqi | ||
| 63′ | I. KrasnopirM. Gayduchyk | ||
| 80′ | Y. Shevchenko VolodymyrovychD. Godya | ||
| 86′ | O. NazarenkoV. Shepelev | ||
| 86′ | G. HerbertS. Cuiza |
Polessya vs Kryvbas KR overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Polessya vs Kryvbas KR
| Probability | Polessya | Draw | Kryvbas KR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.4% | 20.7% | 22.0% |
| Market | 71.2% | 18.1% | 10.7% |
| Final | 67.7% | 18.8% | 13.5% |
| Edge | -13.8% | +2.5% | +11.3% |
Why Polessya
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.39 vs 1.46.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Polessya and Kryvbas KR expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.86
Polessya and Kryvbas KR attack and defence ratings
Polessya
Kryvbas KR
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Polessya vs Kryvbas KR: result vs prediction
Polessya 1 – 0 Kryvbas KR
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Polessya vs Kryvbas KR markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polessya | 67.7% | 1.48 | -13.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polessya | 67.7% |
| Draw | 18.8% | |
| Kryvbas KR | 13.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.6% |
| No | 29.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Polessya win | 37.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 42.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.9% |
| 1-1 | 8.2% | |
| 3-1 | 7.1% |
Polessya vs Kryvbas KR stats
Polessya and Kryvbas KR recent form
| Polessya |
LWWLWW |
| Kryvbas KR |
DLDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Polessya and Kryvbas KR going into this match
Polessya record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kryvbas KR record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Polessya vs Kryvbas KR head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Polessya | Kryvbas KR | Ukraine Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Kryvbas KR | Polessya | Ukraine Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-25 | Polessya | Kryvbas KR | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-30 | Kryvbas KR | Polessya | Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2024-10-30 | Polessya | Kryvbas KR | Cup | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-13 | Kryvbas KR | Polessya | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2023-11-06 | Polessya | Kryvbas KR | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2021-10-23 | Polessya | Kryvbas KR | Persha Liga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Polessya vs Kryvbas KR odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.2%, draw 18.1%, away 10.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.33 | 5.44 | 8.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 4.75 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.31 | 5.00 | 7.90 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 5.00 | 8.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.27 | 5.30 | 9.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27 | 5.40 | 9.24 |
| SBO | 1.27 | 4.78 | 7.05 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 4.80 | 8.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .