Ukraine Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 7

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh

0 – 2 Full time

20′V. Voloshyn
46′SidnneyO. Kryvoruchko
57′V. GorinNene
63′N. Vorobchak
70′N. FedotovO. Bilyk
70′A. KozakJ. Ceberio
70′M. MyronyukM. Yevpak
70′A. ChelyadinS. Tatolna
72′Daniil Vashchenko
81′I. KvasnytsyaD. Shastal
81′P. FallWendell
85′Oleg Sokolov
90′V. VoloshynI. Kotukha

Tonkocheyev Stadium, Kamianets-PodilskyiReferee: O. Afanasyev

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 35%
Draw 31%
Livyi Bereh 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEpitsentr DunayivtsiDrawLivyi Bereh
Model18.5%37.5%44.0%
Market40.6%28.8%30.7%
Final35.0%31.0%34.0%
Edge-22.1%+8.8%+13.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Epitsentr Duna ↓ / Livyi Bereh → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 23% 20% 1 13% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 77%
2+ goals 46%
3+ goals 19%
No goals 23%

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and Livyi Bereh expected goals

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0.53
Livyi Bereh 0.97

Total expected goals: 1.51

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and Livyi Bereh attack and defence ratings

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Livyi Bereh

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.47 -53%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh: result vs prediction

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0 – 2 Livyi Bereh

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 35.0% 2.85 -22.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 80.7% 1.24 — —
Both teams to score No 73.1% 1.37 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.0% 1.45 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 81.5% 1.23 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Epitsentr Dunayivtsi35.0%
Draw31.0%
Livyi Bereh34.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.519.3%
Under 2.580.7%
Both teams to scoreYes26.9%
No73.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.0%
12 (either side)69.0%
X2 (draw or away)65.0%
Handicap -1Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win4.5%
Push (exactly one goal)14.0%
Loss81.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-023.3%
0-120.4%
1-112.7%

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh stats

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and Livyi Bereh recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and Livyi Bereh going into this match

league record before kick-off

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

Livyi Bereh record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Epitsentr Dunayivtsi wins 1Draws 2Livyi Bereh wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-05-24Livyi BerehEpitsentr DunayivtsiPersha Liga2-1
2024-04-21Epitsentr DunayivtsiLivyi BerehPersha Liga1-1
2021-11-05Epitsentr DunayivtsiLivyi BerehDruha Liga - Group A3-1
2021-07-31Livyi BerehEpitsentr DunayivtsiDruha Liga - Group A4-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.6%, draw 28.8%, away 30.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.36 3.30 3.09
Bet365 2.20 3.20 2.88
Betano 2.27 3.15 3.00
Betfair 2.20 3.25 2.88
Marathonbet 2.27 3.15 3.04
Pinnacle 2.27 3.22 3.05
William Hill 2.30 3.00 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.27 ▲ +0.26
X 3.20 ▼ -0.05
2 3.00 ▼ -0.62

13 snapshots recorded, from .