Livyi Bereh
vs
Polessya
1 – 0 Full time
| 37′ | S. Kosovskyi | ||
| 39′ | O. Sokolov | ||
| 46′ | I. KrasnopirM. Gayduchyk | ||
| 61′ | L. EmerllahuO. Fedor | ||
| 63′ | S. KosovskyiE. Banada | ||
| 63′ | D. ShastalI. Kvasnytsya | ||
| 68′ | V. VeletenM. Bragaru | ||
| 68′ | Leandro AndradeO. Nazarenko | ||
| 73′ | WendellP. Fall | ||
| 73′ | Diego AndradinaV. Voloshyn | ||
| 81′ | O. AndriyevskiI. Krasniqi | ||
| 82′ | A. ChelyadinO. Kryvoruchko |
Livyi Bereh vs Polessya overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Livyi Bereh vs Polessya
| Probability | Livyi Bereh | Draw | Polessya |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.2% | 32.3% | 31.5% |
| Market | 66.2% | 21.8% | 12.0% |
| Final | 58.7% | 24.4% | 16.9% |
| Edge | -30.0% | +10.5% | +19.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Livyi Bereh and Polessya expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.14
Livyi Bereh and Polessya attack and defence ratings
Livyi Bereh
Polessya
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Livyi Bereh vs Polessya: result vs prediction
Livyi Bereh 1 – 0 Polessya
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Livyi Bereh vs Polessya markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livyi Bereh | 58.7% | 1.70 | -30.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livyi Bereh | 58.7% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Polessya | 16.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.4% |
| No | 55.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Livyi Bereh win | 15.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 63.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.1% | |
| 1-0 | 11.8% |
Livyi Bereh vs Polessya stats
Livyi Bereh and Polessya recent form
| Livyi Bereh |
DDDDWD |
| Polessya |
WWLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Livyi Bereh and Polessya going into this match
Polessya record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Livyi Bereh vs Polessya head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-19 | Livyi Bereh | Polessya | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Polessya | Livyi Bereh | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2024-02-17 | Polessya | Livyi Bereh | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Livyi Bereh vs Polessya odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.1%, draw 21.5%, away 12.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.41 | 4.49 | 8.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.38 | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.40 | 4.30 | 6.80 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 4.33 | 7.50 |
| Dafabet | 7.40 | 4.40 | 1.39 |
| Marathonbet | 1.40 | 4.15 | 8.10 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.00 | 8.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .