Chornomorets
vs
Livyi Bereh
0 – 0 Full time
| 18′ | V. Klymenko | ||
| 29′ | V. KlymenkoO. Gusev | ||
| 41′ | Wendell | ||
| 46′ | WendellP. Fall | ||
| 60′ | E. BanadaS. Kosovskyi | ||
| 60′ | Diego AndradinaO. Kryvoruchko | ||
| 66′ | O. PushkaryovA. Avagimyan | ||
| 67′ | J. D. YokaC. Mba | ||
| 68′ | N. BonsuI. Kvasnytsya | ||
| 83′ | V. KurkoD. Alefirenko | ||
| 85′ | D. ShastalN. Voloshyn |
Chornomorets vs Livyi Bereh overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chornomorets vs Livyi Bereh
| Probability | Chornomorets | Draw | Livyi Bereh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.4% | 34.7% | 42.9% |
| Market | 28.8% | 31.9% | 39.4% |
| Final | 27.2% | 32.6% | 40.2% |
| Edge | -6.4% | +2.9% | +3.5% |
Why Livyi Bereh
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.08 vs 0.70.
- The market prices Livyi Bereh below the model: +3.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chornomorets and Livyi Bereh expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.79
Chornomorets and Livyi Bereh attack and defence ratings
Chornomorets
Livyi Bereh
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chornomorets vs Livyi Bereh: result vs prediction
Chornomorets 0 – 0 Livyi Bereh
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Chornomorets vs Livyi Bereh markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livyi Bereh | 40.2% | 2.49 | +3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chornomorets | 27.2% |
| Draw | 32.6% | |
| Livyi Bereh | 40.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34.7% |
| No | 65.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Livyi Bereh win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 57.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 18.0% |
| 0-1 | 16.8% | |
| 1-1 | 14.1% |
Chornomorets vs Livyi Bereh stats
Chornomorets and Livyi Bereh recent form
| Chornomorets |
WLLWWD |
| Livyi Bereh |
DDDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chornomorets vs Livyi Bereh head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Chornomorets | Livyi Bereh | Persha Liga | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Livyi Bereh | Chornomorets | Persha Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-01 | Chornomorets | Livyi Bereh | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-26 | Livyi Bereh | Chornomorets | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-23 | Livyi Bereh | Chornomorets | Cup | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chornomorets vs Livyi Bereh odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.8%, draw 31.9%, away 39.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.20 | 2.88 | 2.30 |
| 1xBet | 3.48 | 2.89 | 2.41 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 3.20 | 2.90 | 2.32 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 2.90 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 3.25 | 2.95 | 2.37 |
| Marathonbet | 3.32 | 2.84 | 2.35 |
| Pinnacle | 3.38 | 2.81 | 2.34 |
| SBO | 2.90 | 2.73 | 2.17 |
| Superbet | 2.85 | 3.05 | 2.50 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 2.80 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .