Ukraine Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Kryvbas KR vs Kolos Kovalivka

2 – 2 Full time

28′Y. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych
32′Yackson Rivas
32′Eduard Kozik
38′Y. Klymchuk
46′I. KaneI. Kasalla
56′Zurab Rukhadze
57′Oleksandr Savchuk
63′D. PidgurskyiO. Kamenskyi
63′V. MulykA. Seck
66′V. Vilivald
74′O. DemchenkoD. Khrypchuk
74′Y. KlymchukD. Ndukve
76′Roy Navi
77′Assane Seck
80′Zurab Rukhadze
80′Zurab Rukhadze
82′Ivan Pakholiuk
83′G. HerbertS. Cuiza
84′A. SalabayD. Denysenko
84′A. RrapajA. Tahiri
89′Y. RivasM. Bodnar
90′A. Tahiri

Hirnyk Stadium, Kryvyi RihReferee: Artem Mihaylyuk, Ukraine

Kryvbas KR 32%
Draw 29%
Kolos Kovalivka 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Kryvbas KR vs Kolos Kovalivka overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kryvbas KR vs Kolos Kovalivka

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKryvbas KRDrawKolos Kovalivka
Model38.4%29.7%31.9%
Market30.3%29.2%40.5%
Final32.3%29.3%38.4%
Edge+8.0%+0.5%-8.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kryvbas KR ↓ / Kolos Kovalivk → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 9% 1 10% 14% 8% 2 7% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Kryvbas KR and Kolos Kovalivka expected goals

Kryvbas KR 1.30
Kolos Kovalivka 1.17

Total expected goals: 2.47

Kryvbas KR and Kolos Kovalivka attack and defence ratings

Kryvbas KR

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Kolos Kovalivka

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kryvbas KR vs Kolos Kovalivka: result vs prediction

Kryvbas KR 2 – 2 Kolos Kovalivka

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

Kryvbas KR vs Kolos Kovalivka markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kolos Kovalivka 38.4% 2.61 -8.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.2% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.4% 1.95 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.7% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.1% 1.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kryvbas KR32.3%
Draw29.3%
Kolos Kovalivka38.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.8%
Under 2.555.2%
Both teams to scoreYes51.4%
No48.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.6%
12 (either side)70.7%
X2 (draw or away)67.7%
Handicap -1Kolos Kovalivka win13.7%
Push (exactly one goal)18.3%
Loss68.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
0-09.8%
1-09.7%

Kryvbas KR vs Kolos Kovalivka stats

Kryvbas KR and Kolos Kovalivka recent form

newest first
Kryvbas KR LDWLDL
Kolos Kovalivka DLLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kryvbas KR and Kolos Kovalivka going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kryvbas KR record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kryvbas KR vs Kolos Kovalivka head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Kryvbas KR wins 2Draws 3Kolos Kovalivka wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-13Kryvbas KRKolos KovalivkaUkraine Premier League1-1
2025-08-01Kolos KovalivkaKryvbas KRUkraine Premier League2-1
2025-05-11Kryvbas KRKolos KovalivkaPremier League0-1
2024-11-09Kolos KovalivkaKryvbas KRPremier League1-1
2024-03-16Kryvbas KRKolos KovalivkaPremier League1-0
2023-09-03Kolos KovalivkaKryvbas KRPremier League0-3
2023-03-03Kryvbas KRKolos KovalivkaPremier League1-0
2022-08-23Kolos KovalivkaKryvbas KRPremier League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kryvbas KR vs Kolos Kovalivka odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.8%, draw 29.0%, away 40.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.00 3.20 2.20
1xBet 3.08 3.33 2.36
Bet365 2.88 3.20 2.25
Betano 2.95 3.10 2.32
Betfair 2.90 3.10 2.20
Dafabet 3.00 3.20 2.36
Marathonbet 3.06 3.18 2.29
Pinnacle 3.06 3.18 2.29
Superbet 2.95 3.15 2.35
William Hill 3.00 3.00 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.06 ▲ +0.03
X 3.18 ▼ -0.02
2 2.29 ▲ +0.02

12 snapshots recorded, from .