Kolos Kovalivka
vs
Karpaty
0 – 2 Full time
| 9′ | N. Rusyn | ||
| 20′ | J. Sery | ||
| 32′ | V. Baboglo | ||
| 39′ | A. Salabay | ||
| 39′ | A. Chachua | ||
| 43′ | A. Tahiri | ||
| 45′ | R. Kostyshyn | ||
| 46′ | O. DemchenkoD. Khrypchuk | ||
| 46′ | A. TahiriY. Klymchuk | ||
| 51′ | N. Rusyn | ||
| 56′ | J. SeryJoaquinete | ||
| 60′ | I. KaneD. Ndukve | ||
| 69′ | A. RrapajI. Kasalla | ||
| 74′ | D. Ndukve | ||
| 75′ | X. AlkainD. Miroshnichenko | ||
| 75′ | Fellipe VieiraM. Sapuga | ||
| 77′ | E. KozikD. Denysenko | ||
| 90′ | N. RusynY. Karabin | ||
| 90′ | A. ChachuaEriki |
Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty
| Probability | Kolos Kovalivka | Draw | Karpaty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.3% | 30.2% | 50.5% |
| Market | 28.5% | 27.8% | 43.7% |
| Final | 26.2% | 28.4% | 45.4% |
| Edge | -9.2% | +2.4% | +6.8% |
Why Karpaty
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Karpaty below the model: +6.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kolos Kovalivka and Karpaty expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.14
Kolos Kovalivka and Karpaty attack and defence ratings
Kolos Kovalivka
Karpaty
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty: result vs prediction
Kolos Kovalivka 0 – 2 Karpaty
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karpaty | 45.4% | 2.20 | +6.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolos Kovalivka | 26.2% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Karpaty | 45.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.0% |
| No | 59.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Karpaty win | 25.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 49.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 15.0% |
| 1-1 | 13.6% | |
| 0-0 | 13.0% |
Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty stats
Kolos Kovalivka and Karpaty recent form
| Kolos Kovalivka |
DDLLWL |
| Karpaty |
LDWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kolos Kovalivka and Karpaty going into this match
Karpaty record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Karpaty | Kolos Kovalivka | Ukraine Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Kolos Kovalivka | Karpaty | Ukraine Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-17 | Kolos Kovalivka | Karpaty | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-22 | Karpaty | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2020-02-29 | Kolos Kovalivka | Karpaty | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2019-09-28 | Karpaty | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.2%, draw 28.6%, away 40.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.30 | 3.43 | 2.20 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.42 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.38 |
| Dafabet | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.46 |
| Marathonbet | 3.25 | 3.34 | 2.12 |
| Pinnacle | 3.27 | 3.42 | 2.08 |
| Superbet | 2.77 | 3.20 | 2.45 |
| Unibet | 2.55 | 3.10 | 2.48 |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .