Kryvbas KR
vs
FC Kharkiv
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Kharkiv
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Kryvbas KR vs FC Kharkiv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kryvbas KR vs FC Kharkiv
| Probability | Kryvbas KR | Draw | FC Kharkiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.2% | 22.8% | 58.0% |
| Market | 18.1% | 22.7% | 59.2% |
| Final | 18.4% | 22.7% | 58.9% |
| Edge | +1.1% | +0.1% | -1.2% |
Why FC Kharkiv
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.60, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Kryvbas KR vs FC Kharkiv match preview
In the upcoming match between Kryvbas KR and FC Kharkiv, the probabilities suggest a strong advantage for FC Kharkiv, with a 59% chance of winning compared to Kryvbas KR's 18%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, occurring at a rate of 10%. The expectation for goals is high, with a 62% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance that both teams will score.
Analyzing recent form, Kryvbas KR has struggled with a record of L-D-L-D-W-L, while FC Kharkiv has shown better performance, winning three of their last six matches. Historically, Kryvbas KR has had the upper hand in their last seven encounters, securing four wins against FC Kharkiv's two. However, the current dynamics favor FC Kharkiv significantly.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kryvbas KR and FC Kharkiv expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.01
Kryvbas KR and FC Kharkiv attack and defence ratings
Kryvbas KR
FC Kharkiv
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kryvbas KR vs FC Kharkiv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Kharkiv | 58.9% | 1.70 | -1.2% | 1.60 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Kharkiv win | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kryvbas KR | 18.4% |
| Draw | 22.7% | |
| FC Kharkiv | 58.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.2% |
| No | 39.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 41.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Kharkiv win | 38.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 38.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 8.7% |
Kryvbas KR vs FC Kharkiv stats
Kryvbas KR and FC Kharkiv recent form
| Kryvbas KR |
LDLDWL |
| FC Kharkiv |
WWWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kryvbas KR and FC Kharkiv season so far
Kryvbas KR record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Kharkiv record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Kryvbas KR vs FC Kharkiv head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | FC Kharkiv | Kryvbas KR | Ukraine Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Kryvbas KR | FC Kharkiv | Ukraine Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2024-04-28 | Kryvbas KR | FC Kharkiv | Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2023-10-20 | FC Kharkiv | Kryvbas KR | Premier League | 1-3 |
| 2023-05-29 | FC Kharkiv | Kryvbas KR | Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2022-11-20 | Kryvbas KR | FC Kharkiv | Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2021-07-12 | FC Kharkiv | Kryvbas KR | Friendlies Clubs | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kryvbas KR vs FC Kharkiv odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.1%, draw 22.7%, away 59.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.15 | 4.34 | 1.60 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 4.00 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 4.90 | 3.95 | 1.57 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.50 |
| Marathonbet | 5.55 | 4.15 | 1.52 |
| Pinnacle | 5.22 | 4.22 | 1.54 |
| SBO | 4.84 | 3.80 | 1.47 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.90 | 1.55 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .