Bukovyna
vs
Zorya Luhansk
1 – 1 Full time
| 4′ | M. Talla | ||
| 7′ | I. Perduta | ||
| 33′ | I. Nesterenko | ||
| 38′ | V. Vitenchuk | ||
| 46′ | A. SlesarB. Kushnirenko | ||
| 46′ | E. OdinakaV. Dakhnovskyi | ||
| 65′ | D. JelavicI. Gorbach | ||
| 66′ | O. KozhushkoR. Dadashov | ||
| 67′ | M. TallaY. Pidlepenets | ||
| 70′ | M. ZaderakaV. Tankovskiy | ||
| 72′ | I. NesterenkoA. Glushchenko | ||
| 80′ | D. KravchukM. Klepac | ||
| 81′ | V. Tankovskiy | ||
| 81′ | V. Tankovskiy | ||
| 82′ | S. Shyshchenko | ||
| 86′ | B. Kushnirenko | ||
| 86′ | J. Basic | ||
| 90′ | D. Popara |
Bukovyna vs Zorya Luhansk overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bukovyna vs Zorya Luhansk
| Probability | Bukovyna | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.3% | 25.5% | 15.2% |
| Market | 39.0% | 29.6% | 31.4% |
| Final | 44.1% | 28.5% | 27.4% |
| Edge | +20.3% | -4.1% | -16.3% |
Why Bukovyna
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 0.77.
- The market prices Bukovyna below the model: +20.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bukovyna and Zorya Luhansk expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.51
Bukovyna and Zorya Luhansk attack and defence ratings
Bukovyna
Zorya Luhansk
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bukovyna vs Zorya Luhansk: result vs prediction
Bukovyna 1 – 1 Zorya Luhansk
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bukovyna vs Zorya Luhansk markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bukovyna | 44.1% | 2.27 | +20.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.6% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bukovyna | 44.1% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Zorya Luhansk | 27.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.3% |
| No | 54.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bukovyna win | 34.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.9% | |
| Loss | 40.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.1% |
| 2-0 | 12.3% | |
| 1-1 | 12.0% |
Bukovyna vs Zorya Luhansk stats
Bukovyna and Zorya Luhansk recent form
| Bukovyna |
DWLDDW |
| Zorya Luhansk |
DLWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bukovyna and Zorya Luhansk going into this match
Bukovyna record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
Zorya Luhansk record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Bukovyna vs Zorya Luhansk head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Bukovyna vs Zorya Luhansk odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.6%, draw 29.7%, away 31.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.43 | 3.28 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.62 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.10 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40 | 3.07 | 2.93 |
| William Hill | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .