Shakhtar Donetsk
vs
Chornomorets
2 – 0 Full time
| 8′ | A. GhramV. Bondar | ||
| 12′ | K. Popov | ||
| 13′ | O. Ocheretko | ||
| 34′ | Luca Meirelles | ||
| 41′ | G. Robakidze | ||
| 46′ | O. OcheretkoV. Tsukanov | ||
| 46′ | K. PopovD. Alefirenko | ||
| 46′ | G. RobakidzeD. Klyots | ||
| 46′ | M. KogutS. Korniychuk | ||
| 57′ | V. FaraseyenkoA. Avagimyan | ||
| 70′ | Gabriel CarvalhoIsaque Silva | ||
| 70′ | D. KryskivY. Nazaryna | ||
| 75′ | C. MbaJ. D. Yoka | ||
| 84′ | Luca MeirellesL. Traore |
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets
| Probability | Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Chornomorets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.7% | 30.7% | 25.6% |
| Market | 82.1% | 12.8% | 5.2% |
| Final | 72.5% | 17.3% | 10.3% |
| Edge | -38.3% | +17.9% | +20.4% |
Why Shakhtar Donetsk
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shakhtar Donetsk and Chornomorets expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.25
Shakhtar Donetsk and Chornomorets attack and defence ratings
Shakhtar Donetsk
Chornomorets
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets: result vs prediction
Shakhtar Donetsk 2 – 0 Chornomorets
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 72.5% | 1.38 | -38.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 72.5% |
| Draw | 17.3% | |
| Chornomorets | 10.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.9% |
| No | 54.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shakhtar Donetsk win | 21.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 56.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 12.5% | |
| 0-0 | 11.8% |
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets stats
Shakhtar Donetsk and Chornomorets recent form
| Shakhtar Donetsk |
DWLWWW |
| Chornomorets |
DWLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shakhtar Donetsk and Chornomorets going into this match
Shakhtar Donetsk record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | Chornomorets | Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2024-11-02 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Chornomorets | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-05 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Chornomorets | Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2024-05-01 | Chornomorets | Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League | 1-4 |
| 2024-04-03 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Chornomorets | Cup | 4-1 |
| 2023-04-02 | Chornomorets | Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2022-09-10 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Chornomorets | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2021-10-27 | Chornomorets | Shakhtar Donetsk | Cup | 0-3 |
| 2021-08-21 | Chornomorets | Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 82.0%, draw 13.1%, away 4.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.14 | 7.50 | 24.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| Betano | 1.15 | 6.50 | 15.00 |
| Betfair | 1.08 | 7.50 | 21.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.12 | 7.00 | 22.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.11 | 7.70 | 19.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.12 | 8.19 | 16.86 |
| SBO | 1.12 | 6.28 | 11.56 |
| William Hill | 1.14 | 7.00 | 19.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .