Ukraine Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 6

LNZ Cherkasy vs Obolon'-Brovar

3 – 1 Full time

8′O. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko
10′Talles Brener
12′P. Yade
21′O. Serhiyovych ZhovtenkoA. Matkevych
28′Y. Tverdokhlib
45′T. Cara
46′D. ShostakD. Myshnyov
60′A. YakubuY. Pastukh
60′T. CaraD. Kuzyk
60′O. SlobodyanS. Sukhanov
61′D. UstymenkoT. Lyakh
63′Y. TverdokhlibC. David
67′A. Matkevych
68′N. MuravskyiB. Slyubyk
68′Talles BrenerM. Jashari
80′A. ShulyanskyiD. Teslyuk
82′V. Yermakov
88′Y. Pastukh
90′A. Ryabov

Cherkasy Arena, CherkasyReferee: Dmytro Kubriak, Ukraine

LNZ Cherkasy 62%
Draw 27%
Obolon'-Brovar 11%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

LNZ Cherkasy vs Obolon'-Brovar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: LNZ Cherkasy vs Obolon'-Brovar

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLNZ CherkasyDrawObolon'-Brovar
Model43.6%40.7%15.7%
Market67.9%22.4%9.7%
Final61.9%27.0%11.2%
Edge-24.3%+18.4%+6.0%

Confidence: Low

Why LNZ Cherkasy

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.87 vs 0.41.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

LNZ Cherkasy ↓ / Obolon'-Brovar → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 29% 1 23% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 71%
2+ goals 37%
3+ goals 14%
No goals 29%

LNZ Cherkasy and Obolon'-Brovar expected goals

LNZ Cherkasy 0.87
Obolon'-Brovar 0.41

Total expected goals: 1.28

LNZ Cherkasy and Obolon'-Brovar attack and defence ratings

LNZ Cherkasy

Attack 0.52 -48%
Defence 0.59 -41%

Obolon'-Brovar

Attack 0.57 -43%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

LNZ Cherkasy vs Obolon'-Brovar: result vs prediction

LNZ Cherkasy 3 – 1 Obolon'-Brovar

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

LNZ Cherkasy vs Obolon'-Brovar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 LNZ Cherkasy 61.9% 1.62 -24.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 86.3% 1.16 — —
Both teams to score No 79.5% 1.26 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.8% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.4% 1.77 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2LNZ Cherkasy61.9%
Draw27.0%
Obolon'-Brovar11.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.513.7%
Under 2.586.3%
Both teams to scoreYes20.5%
No79.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.8%
12 (either side)73.0%
X2 (draw or away)38.1%
Handicap -1LNZ Cherkasy win15.9%
Push (exactly one goal)27.7%
Loss56.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-028.9%
1-023.2%
1-110.9%

LNZ Cherkasy vs Obolon'-Brovar stats

LNZ Cherkasy and Obolon'-Brovar recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

LNZ Cherkasy and Obolon'-Brovar going into this match

league record before kick-off

LNZ Cherkasy record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.

Obolon'-Brovar record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 5 matches.

LNZ Cherkasy vs Obolon'-Brovar head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4LNZ Cherkasy wins 2Draws 4Obolon'-Brovar wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-24Obolon'-BrovarLNZ CherkasyUkraine Premier League0-1
2025-12-06LNZ CherkasyObolon'-BrovarUkraine Premier League3-0
2025-05-10Obolon'-BrovarLNZ CherkasyPremier League0-0
2024-11-09LNZ CherkasyObolon'-BrovarPremier League0-1
2024-07-20Obolon'-BrovarLNZ CherkasyFriendlies Clubs2-0
2024-07-09LNZ CherkasyObolon'-BrovarFriendlies Clubs2-0
2024-05-04Obolon'-BrovarLNZ CherkasyPremier League1-0
2023-10-29LNZ CherkasyObolon'-BrovarPremier League3-0
2022-10-15Obolon'-BrovarLNZ CherkasyPersha Liga1-0
2022-08-27LNZ CherkasyObolon'-BrovarPersha Liga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

LNZ Cherkasy vs Obolon'-Brovar odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 67.9%, draw 22.4%, away 9.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.39 4.41 9.80
Bet365 1.33 3.90 9.00
Betano 1.36 4.10 8.75
Marathonbet 1.34 4.25 10.25
Pinnacle 1.35 4.39 9.48
SBO 1.32 3.87 8.10
William Hill 1.36 4.00 9.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.35 ▲ +0.02
X 4.10 ▼ -0.30
2 9.48 ▼ -0.52

4 snapshots recorded, from .