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Ukraine Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 5

FC Kharkiv vs Obolon'-Brovar

5 – 0 Full time

2′R. Volokhatyi
7′R. Volokhatyi
7′R. Volokhatyi
7′P. Itodo
13′C. Paraco
15′B. Zabergja
24′I. Krupskyi
27′M. Chekh
29′I. MedynskyiO. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko
29′A. MatkevychT. Moroz
38′P. Itodo
38′O. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko
39′T. Moroz
45′P. Itodo
46′V. SalyukR. Profini
46′P. ItodoD. Antyukh
46′M. ChekhD. Shostak
51′Obolon'-Brovar
59′B. ZabergjaS. Castillo
71′C. ParacoJ. N. Arevalo Chaparro
71′A. ShabanovV. Dubko
73′S. SukhanovD. Ustymenko
81′A. ShulyanskyiY. Shevchenko

Arena Livyi Bereg, KyivReferee: O. Derevinskyi

FC Kharkiv 67%
Draw 22%
Obolon'-Brovar 11%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FC Kharkiv vs Obolon'-Brovar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Kharkiv vs Obolon'-Brovar

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC KharkivDrawObolon'-Brovar
Model54.5%31.1%14.4%
Market70.5%19.5%10.0%
Final66.5%22.4%11.1%
Edge-16.0%+11.5%+4.4%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Kharkiv

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.55.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Kharkiv ↓ / Obolon'-Brovar → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 1 19% 12% 2 13% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 57%
3+ goals 29%
No goals 17%

FC Kharkiv and Obolon'-Brovar expected goals

FC Kharkiv 1.32
Obolon'-Brovar 0.55

Total expected goals: 1.87

FC Kharkiv and Obolon'-Brovar attack and defence ratings

FC Kharkiv

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Obolon'-Brovar

Attack 0.62 -38%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Kharkiv vs Obolon'-Brovar: result vs prediction

FC Kharkiv 5 – 0 Obolon'-Brovar

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

FC Kharkiv vs Obolon'-Brovar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Kharkiv 66.5% 1.50 -16.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 71.2% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score No 67.9% 1.47 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.9% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.5% 2.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Kharkiv66.5%
Draw22.4%
Obolon'-Brovar11.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.8%
Under 2.571.2%
Both teams to scoreYes32.1%
No67.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.9%
12 (either side)77.6%
X2 (draw or away)33.5%
Handicap -1FC Kharkiv win27.0%
Push (exactly one goal)27.6%
Loss45.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-019.2%
0-016.6%
2-013.4%

FC Kharkiv vs Obolon'-Brovar stats

FC Kharkiv and Obolon'-Brovar recent form

newest first
FC Kharkiv WLLWWD
Obolon'-Brovar DDDLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Kharkiv and Obolon'-Brovar going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Kharkiv record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Obolon'-Brovar record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 5 matches.

FC Kharkiv vs Obolon'-Brovar head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3FC Kharkiv wins 3Draws 4Obolon'-Brovar wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-12Obolon'-BrovarFC KharkivUkraine Premier League1-3
2025-08-24FC KharkivObolon'-BrovarCup2-0
2025-08-04FC KharkivObolon'-BrovarUkraine Premier League0-0
2024-04-22FC KharkivObolon'-BrovarPremier League1-1
2023-10-08Obolon'-BrovarFC KharkivPremier League1-0
2021-05-08Obolon'-BrovarFC KharkivPersha Liga1-1
2020-10-31FC KharkivObolon'-BrovarPersha Liga0-1
2020-08-07Obolon'-BrovarFC KharkivPersha Liga3-0
2019-10-19FC KharkivObolon'-BrovarPersha Liga2-1
2019-03-27Obolon'-BrovarFC KharkivPersha Liga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Kharkiv vs Obolon'-Brovar odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 68.4%, draw 21.5%, away 10.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.35 3.85 10.50
1xBet 1.35 4.95 9.40
Bet365 1.33 4.33 8.50
Betano 1.40 3.90 8.25
Betfair 1.30 4.20 9.00
Dafabet 1.40 4.10 8.80
Marathonbet 1.30 4.80 9.80
Pinnacle 1.31 4.85 9.16
Superbet 1.39 4.10 8.00
William Hill 1.33 4.50 9.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.33 ▼ -0.01
X 4.80 ▲ +0.30
2 9.40 ▲ +0.85

12 snapshots recorded, from .