Ukraine Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv

0 – 3 Full time

14′Peter Itodo
40′Ramik Gadzhyev
51′Igor PerdutaVladlen Yurchenko
51′Dejan PoparaÍtalo
51′Artem SlesarIhor Horbach
51′Vladyslav RybakIllia Karavashchenko
55′Baton Zabergja
62′Peter ItodoErmir Rashica
64′Baton Zabergja
74′Anderson Jordan
76′Baton ZabergjaDenys Antiukh
81′Carlos ParacoIgor Kogut
81′Ramik GadzhyevSebastian Castillo
83′Domagoj JelavićMaksym Boyko

Valeriy Lobanovskyi, KyivReferee: Klim Zabroda, Ukraine

Zorya Luhansk 29%
Draw 29%
FC Kharkiv 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZorya LuhanskDrawFC Kharkiv
Model40.8%31.8%27.5%
Market24.4%28.2%47.4%
Final28.5%29.1%42.4%
Edge+16.3%+3.6%-19.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zorya Luhansk ↓ / FC Kharkiv → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 10% 1 12% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Zorya Luhansk and FC Kharkiv expected goals

Zorya Luhansk 1.21
FC Kharkiv 0.96

Total expected goals: 2.17

Zorya Luhansk and FC Kharkiv attack and defence ratings

Zorya Luhansk

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.92 -8%

FC Kharkiv

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv: result vs prediction

Zorya Luhansk 0 – 3 FC Kharkiv

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Kharkiv 42.4% 2.36 -19.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.4% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score No 55.7% 1.80 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 71.5% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 72.1% 1.39 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zorya Luhansk28.5%
Draw29.1%
FC Kharkiv42.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.6%
Under 2.563.4%
Both teams to scoreYes44.3%
No55.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.6%
12 (either side)70.9%
X2 (draw or away)71.5%
Handicap -1FC Kharkiv win10.5%
Push (exactly one goal)17.4%
Loss72.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.6%
0-012.9%
1-012.6%

Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv stats

Zorya Luhansk and FC Kharkiv recent form

newest first
Zorya Luhansk WLWWDW
FC Kharkiv LLWWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zorya Luhansk and FC Kharkiv going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Kharkiv record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Zorya Luhansk wins 1Draws 0FC Kharkiv wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-09Zorya LuhanskFC KharkivUkraine Premier League1-1
2025-11-08FC KharkivZorya LuhanskUkraine Premier League1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kharkiv odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.4%, draw 28.2%, away 47.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.84 3.45 2.01
Betfair 3.60 3.25 1.91
Dafabet 3.80 3.30 1.96

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.80 ▲ +0.08
X 3.30 ▼ -0.03
2 1.96 —

11 snapshots recorded, from .