Ukraine Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 4

LNZ Cherkasy vs Veres Rivne

0 – 1 Full time

Cherkasy Arena, CherkasyReferee: Maksim Koziryatskiy, Ukraine

LNZ Cherkasy 59%
Draw 27%
Veres Rivne 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

LNZ Cherkasy vs Veres Rivne overview

Garuda Lions analysis: LNZ Cherkasy vs Veres Rivne

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLNZ CherkasyDrawVeres Rivne
Model43.8%39.3%16.9%
Market64.7%23.1%12.2%
Final59.5%27.2%13.4%
Edge-20.9%+16.2%+4.7%

Confidence: Low

Why LNZ Cherkasy

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.91 vs 0.47.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

LNZ Cherkasy ↓ / Veres Rivne → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 26% 1 22% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 74%
2+ goals 41%
3+ goals 16%
No goals 26%

LNZ Cherkasy and Veres Rivne expected goals

LNZ Cherkasy 0.91
Veres Rivne 0.47

Total expected goals: 1.37

LNZ Cherkasy and Veres Rivne attack and defence ratings

LNZ Cherkasy

Attack 0.68 -32%
Defence 0.60 -40%

Veres Rivne

Attack 0.63 -37%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

LNZ Cherkasy vs Veres Rivne: result vs prediction

LNZ Cherkasy 0 – 1 Veres Rivne

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

LNZ Cherkasy vs Veres Rivne markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 LNZ Cherkasy 59.5% 1.68 -20.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 84.0% 1.19 — —
Both teams to score No 76.8% 1.30 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.6% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.4% 1.77 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2LNZ Cherkasy59.5%
Draw27.2%
Veres Rivne13.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.516.0%
Under 2.584.0%
Both teams to scoreYes23.2%
No76.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.6%
12 (either side)72.8%
X2 (draw or away)40.5%
Handicap -1LNZ Cherkasy win16.4%
Push (exactly one goal)27.1%
Loss56.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-026.4%
1-022.0%
1-111.7%

LNZ Cherkasy vs Veres Rivne stats

LNZ Cherkasy and Veres Rivne recent form

newest first
LNZ Cherkasy WLDDDW
Veres Rivne DLLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

LNZ Cherkasy and Veres Rivne going into this match

league record before kick-off

LNZ Cherkasy record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.

Veres Rivne record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.

LNZ Cherkasy vs Veres Rivne head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1LNZ Cherkasy wins 0Draws 1Veres Rivne wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-09Veres RivneLNZ CherkasyUkraine Premier League0-3
2025-08-31LNZ CherkasyVeres RivneUkraine Premier League0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

LNZ Cherkasy vs Veres Rivne odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 64.7%, draw 23.1%, away 12.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.46 4.08 8.20
Betfair 1.36 3.90 7.50
Dafabet 1.43 4.00 7.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.43 ▲ +0.02
X 4.00 ▲ +0.01
2 7.60 ▼ -0.25

11 snapshots recorded, from .