Livyi Bereh
vs
Karpaty
1 – 1 Full time
Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty
| Probability | Livyi Bereh | Draw | Karpaty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.6% | 33.9% | 41.5% |
| Market | 27.6% | 27.2% | 45.1% |
| Final | 26.9% | 28.9% | 44.2% |
| Edge | -3.1% | +6.7% | -3.6% |
Why Karpaty
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.11 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Livyi Bereh and Karpaty expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.90
Livyi Bereh and Karpaty attack and defence ratings
Livyi Bereh
Karpaty
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty: result vs prediction
Livyi Bereh 1 – 1 Karpaty
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karpaty | 44.2% | 2.26 | -3.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livyi Bereh | 26.9% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Karpaty | 44.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.8% |
| No | 62.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Karpaty win | 18.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 58.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.4% |
| 0-1 | 15.3% | |
| 1-1 | 14.4% |
Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty stats
Livyi Bereh and Karpaty recent form
| Livyi Bereh |
DDWDWW |
| Karpaty |
WWWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Livyi Bereh and Karpaty going into this match
Karpaty record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-02 | Livyi Bereh | Karpaty | Premier League | 2-3 |
| 2024-11-02 | Karpaty | Livyi Bereh | Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2024-05-18 | Karpaty | Livyi Bereh | Persha Liga | 3-3 |
| 2024-04-12 | Livyi Bereh | Karpaty | Persha Liga | 0-1 |
| 2021-10-02 | Karpaty | Livyi Bereh | Druha Liga - Group A | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.6%, draw 27.2%, away 45.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.50 | 3.45 | 2.12 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.30 | 2.05 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.25 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.35 | 3.45 | 2.04 |
| Marathonbet | 3.55 | 3.54 | 1.94 |
| Pinnacle | 3.28 | 3.48 | 2.06 |
| Superbet | 3.35 | 3.40 | 2.05 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .