Shakhtar Donetsk
vs
Polessya
0 – 2 Full time
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya
| Probability | Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Polessya |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.5% | 23.7% | 24.7% |
| Market | 51.4% | 26.9% | 21.8% |
| Final | 51.4% | 26.1% | 22.5% |
| Edge | +0.1% | -3.1% | +3.0% |
Why Shakhtar Donetsk
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.34.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shakhtar Donetsk and Polessya expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.32
Shakhtar Donetsk and Polessya attack and defence ratings
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya: result vs prediction
Shakhtar Donetsk 0 – 2 Polessya
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 51.4% | 1.94 | +0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 51.4% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Polessya | 22.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.4% |
| No | 35.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shakhtar Donetsk win | 30.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 48.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.1% |
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya stats
Shakhtar Donetsk and Polessya recent form
| Shakhtar Donetsk |
WWWLWW |
| Polessya |
LWWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Polessya | Ukraine Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Polessya | Shakhtar Donetsk | Ukraine Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-23 | Polessya | Shakhtar Donetsk | Cup | 0-1 |
| 2024-12-15 | Polessya | Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-11 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Polessya | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-25 | Polessya | Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2023-11-24 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Polessya | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2020-07-26 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Polessya | Friendlies Clubs | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.4%, draw 26.9%, away 21.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 3.61 | 4.36 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.10 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.50 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.78 | 3.50 | 4.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 3.38 | 4.33 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81 | 3.46 | 4.23 |
| Superbet | 1.82 | 3.45 | 4.15 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .