Ukraine Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Polessya vs Kudrivka

5 – 1 Full time

1′V. Veleten
11′B. Veklyak
13′O. Andriyevski
42′A. Dumanyuk
45′R. Verley
46′O. NazarenkoLeandro Andrade
46′O. AndriyevskiL. Emerllahu
46′R. OwusuD. Svityukha
66′M. BragaruO. Fedor
66′M. GayduchykI. Krasnopir
68′Y. SmyrnyiK. Makosso
68′R. VerleyS. Sten
71′M. Ogarkov
71′I. Krasnopir
75′B. MykhaylichenkoD. Gryshkevych
76′I. Krasnopir
78′O. BelyaevO. O. Yushchenko
78′A. DumanyukK. Sigeev
82′I. Krasniqi
87′Leandro Andrade

Tsentralnyi Stadion, ZhytomyrReferee: Andrey Kovalenko, Ukraine

Polessya 73%
Draw 18%
Kudrivka 9%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Polessya vs Kudrivka overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Polessya vs Kudrivka

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPolessyaDrawKudrivka
Model66.9%21.5%11.6%
Market75.6%16.8%7.7%
Final73.4%18.0%8.7%
Edge-8.7%+4.8%+3.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Polessya

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 0.75.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Polessya ↓ / Kudrivka → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 12% 10% 2 13% 10% 3 9% 7% 4+ 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Polessya and Kudrivka expected goals

Polessya 2.05
Kudrivka 0.75

Total expected goals: 2.80

Polessya and Kudrivka attack and defence ratings

Polessya

Attack 1.34 +34%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Kudrivka

Attack 0.65 -35%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Polessya vs Kudrivka: result vs prediction

Polessya 5 – 1 Kudrivka

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

Polessya vs Kudrivka markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Polessya 73.4% 1.36 -8.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.9% 1.89 — —
Both teams to score No 53.3% 1.88 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 91.3% 1.09 — —
Handicap -1 Polessya win 43.0% 2.32 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Polessya73.4%
Draw18.0%
Kudrivka8.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.9%
Under 2.547.1%
Both teams to scoreYes46.7%
No53.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)91.3%
12 (either side)82.0%
X2 (draw or away)26.6%
Handicap -1Polessya win43.0%
Push (exactly one goal)23.9%
Loss33.1%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.8%
1-011.6%
1-110.3%

Polessya vs Kudrivka stats

Polessya and Kudrivka recent form

newest first
Polessya WLWWLD
Kudrivka LDDLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Polessya and Kudrivka going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kudrivka record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Polessya vs Kudrivka head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Polessya wins 0Draws 0Kudrivka wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-18KudrivkaPolessyaUkraine Premier League0-2
2025-09-20PolessyaKudrivkaUkraine Premier League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Polessya vs Kudrivka odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 75.6%, draw 16.8%, away 7.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.20 5.00 14.00
1xBet 1.24 6.00 13.00
Bet365 1.22 5.00 11.00
Betano 1.24 5.30 10.75
Betfair 1.18 5.50 13.00
Dafabet 1.23 5.80 12.00
Marathonbet 1.21 5.70 13.00
Pinnacle 1.21 5.97 11.57
SBO 1.19 4.84 8.49
Superbet 1.22 5.55 11.00
William Hill 1.22 5.00 12.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.22 ▲ +0.07
X 5.50 ▼ -1.90
2 12.00 ▼ -2.00

9 snapshots recorded, from .