Ukraine Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Veres Rivne vs Zorya Luhansk

1 – 1 Full time

22′V. Sharay
31′D. Jelavic
43′Igor Kharatin
52′Semen Vovchenko
53′Pylyp Budkivskyi
56′N. BlairM. Aleksandrov
57′D. NiyoD. Checher
64′Igor Perduta
65′F. YanR. Baran
65′V. SharayWesley Pomba
68′A. GlushchenkoA. Slesar
83′Bogdan Kushnirenko
84′A. GoncalvesG. de Jesus Lima
86′J. BasicK. Dryshlyuk
86′B. KushnirenkoV. Yurchenko
87′Maksym Smiyan

Avanhard Stadium, RivneReferee: Roman Blavatskiy, Ukraine

Veres Rivne 29%
Draw 29%
Zorya Luhansk 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Veres Rivne vs Zorya Luhansk overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Veres Rivne vs Zorya Luhansk

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVeres RivneDrawZorya Luhansk
Model26.4%31.7%41.9%
Market29.5%27.9%42.6%
Final28.7%28.8%42.5%
Edge-3.1%+3.8%-0.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Zorya Luhansk

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.23 vs 0.92.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Veres Rivne ↓ / Zorya Luhansk → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 13% 9% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Veres Rivne and Zorya Luhansk expected goals

Veres Rivne 0.92
Zorya Luhansk 1.23

Total expected goals: 2.15

Veres Rivne and Zorya Luhansk attack and defence ratings

Veres Rivne

Attack 0.66 -34%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Zorya Luhansk

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Veres Rivne vs Zorya Luhansk: result vs prediction

Veres Rivne 1 – 1 Zorya Luhansk

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

Veres Rivne vs Zorya Luhansk markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Zorya Luhansk 42.5% 2.36 -0.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.6% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score No 56.1% 1.78 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 71.3% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.0% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Veres Rivne28.7%
Draw28.8%
Zorya Luhansk42.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.4%
Under 2.563.6%
Both teams to scoreYes43.9%
No56.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.5%
12 (either side)71.2%
X2 (draw or away)71.3%
Handicap -1Zorya Luhansk win19.2%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss58.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-113.0%
0-013.0%

Veres Rivne vs Zorya Luhansk stats

Veres Rivne and Zorya Luhansk recent form

newest first
Veres Rivne WDLLLL
Zorya Luhansk LWLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Veres Rivne and Zorya Luhansk going into this match

league record before kick-off

Veres Rivne record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.

Veres Rivne vs Zorya Luhansk head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Veres Rivne wins 3Draws 3Zorya Luhansk wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-27Zorya LuhanskVeres RivneUkraine Premier League2-0
2025-10-24Veres RivneZorya LuhanskUkraine Premier League0-0
2025-04-13Zorya LuhanskVeres RivnePremier League1-2
2024-10-05Veres RivneZorya LuhanskPremier League2-1
2024-05-13Zorya LuhanskVeres RivnePremier League1-1
2023-11-05Veres RivneZorya LuhanskPremier League2-2
2023-05-03Zorya LuhanskVeres RivnePremier League1-0
2022-10-23Veres RivneZorya LuhanskPremier League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Veres Rivne vs Zorya Luhansk odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.6%, draw 28.7%, away 41.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.24 3.42 2.23
Bet365 3.00 3.30 2.10
Betfair 2.90 3.10 2.20
Dafabet 3.15 3.15 2.29
Pinnacle 3.19 3.35 2.15
Superbet 3.10 3.10 2.27
William Hill 3.10 3.20 2.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.15 ▲ +0.02
X 3.33 ▲ +0.23
2 2.17 ▼ -0.10

14 snapshots recorded, from .