Ukraine Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 7

Karpaty vs Veres Rivne

1 – 1 Full time

24′Fellipe Vieira
30′S. Vovchenko
38′Fellipe Vieira
46′K. Cipot
55′Y. KarabinX. Alkain
55′Fellipe VieiraB. Iglesias Lois
59′V. Baboglo
62′R. Vantukh
62′J. SeryY. Kostenko
64′Y. Kostenko
66′V. SharayG. de Jesus Lima
70′R. VantukhD. Miroshnichenko
70′N. RusynR. Lyakh
72′D. ChecherR. Baran
82′A. Goncalves
83′F. YanA. Vydrych
85′R. Baran

Ukraina Stadium, LvivReferee: M. Balakin

Karpaty 65%
Draw 23%
Veres Rivne 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Karpaty vs Veres Rivne overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Karpaty vs Veres Rivne

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKarpatyDrawVeres Rivne
Model62.9%25.8%11.3%
Market66.0%21.5%12.5%
Final65.2%22.6%12.2%
Edge-3.1%+4.3%-1.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Karpaty

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 0.56.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Karpaty ↓ / Veres Rivne → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 1 17% 11% 2 15% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

Karpaty and Veres Rivne expected goals

Karpaty 1.64
Veres Rivne 0.56

Total expected goals: 2.21

Karpaty and Veres Rivne attack and defence ratings

Karpaty

Attack 1.32 +32%
Defence 0.67 -33%

Veres Rivne

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Karpaty vs Veres Rivne: result vs prediction

Karpaty 1 – 1 Veres Rivne

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

Karpaty vs Veres Rivne markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Karpaty 65.2% 1.53 -3.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.0% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score No 64.2% 1.56 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.8% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 37.3% 2.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Karpaty65.2%
Draw22.6%
Veres Rivne12.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.0%
Under 2.562.0%
Both teams to scoreYes35.8%
No64.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.8%
12 (either side)77.4%
X2 (draw or away)34.8%
Handicap -1Karpaty win35.9%
Push (exactly one goal)26.8%
Loss37.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-017.0%
2-014.9%
0-012.0%

Karpaty vs Veres Rivne stats

Karpaty and Veres Rivne recent form

newest first
Karpaty WLDWWW
Veres Rivne DWDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Karpaty and Veres Rivne going into this match

league record before kick-off

Karpaty record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Veres Rivne record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.

Karpaty vs Veres Rivne head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

5Karpaty wins 4Draws 0Veres Rivne wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-25KarpatyVeres RivneFriendlies Clubs5-1
2026-05-17KarpatyVeres RivneUkraine Premier League2-0
2025-11-29Veres RivneKarpatyUkraine Premier League0-0
2024-12-07KarpatyVeres RivnePremier League5-0
2024-08-03Veres RivneKarpatyPremier League0-0
2023-07-17Veres RivneKarpatyFriendlies Clubs1-2
2023-03-25Veres RivneKarpatyFriendlies Clubs0-3
2022-07-21KarpatyVeres RivneFriendlies Clubs1-1
2017-12-09Veres RivneKarpatyPremier League2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Karpaty vs Veres Rivne odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 66.0%, draw 21.5%, away 12.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.44 4.55 7.40
Bet365 1.40 4.00 7.00
Betano 1.44 4.20 6.30
Betfair 1.33 4.33 7.50
Marathonbet 1.38 4.30 7.80
Pinnacle 1.39 4.38 7.37
William Hill 1.44 4.00 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.40 ▼ -0.06
X 4.30 ▲ +0.35
2 7.37 ▲ +0.45

13 snapshots recorded, from .