Ukraine Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 7

Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kyiv

0 – 2 Full time

46′V. KabaevK. Bah
56′M. BoykoG. Rodrigues
56′D. PoparaP. Budkivskyi
63′A. YarmolenkoN. Voloshyn
63′M. ShaparenkoV. Rubchynskyi
74′D. JelavicItalo Henrique
78′A. SlesarA. Glushchenko
78′A. MachelyukJuninho
80′Jordan
80′N. MalyshO. Pikhalyonok
83′V. Brazhko
86′M. Ponomarenko
87′T. Mykhavko
87′P. Budkivskyi
88′J. LonwijkM. Mykhaylenko
90′A. Glushchenko

Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho, KyivReferee: D. Panchyshyn

Zorya Luhansk 22%
Draw 25%
Dynamo Kyiv 53%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kyiv overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kyiv

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZorya LuhanskDrawDynamo Kyiv
Model33.2%31.5%35.3%
Market18.3%22.9%58.8%
Final22.0%25.1%52.9%
Edge+14.9%+8.6%-23.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Dynamo Kyiv

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zorya Luhansk ↓ / Dynamo Kyiv → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 11% 1 10% 15% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Zorya Luhansk and Dynamo Kyiv expected goals

Zorya Luhansk 1.10
Dynamo Kyiv 1.13

Total expected goals: 2.23

Zorya Luhansk and Dynamo Kyiv attack and defence ratings

Zorya Luhansk

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Dynamo Kyiv

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kyiv: result vs prediction

Zorya Luhansk 0 – 2 Dynamo Kyiv

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kyiv markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dynamo Kyiv 52.9% 1.89 -23.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.4% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score No 53.5% 1.87 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 78.0% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.9% 1.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zorya Luhansk22.0%
Draw25.1%
Dynamo Kyiv52.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.6%
Under 2.561.4%
Both teams to scoreYes46.5%
No53.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)47.1%
12 (either side)74.9%
X2 (draw or away)78.0%
Handicap -1Dynamo Kyiv win15.0%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss64.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-012.1%
0-110.9%

Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kyiv stats

Zorya Luhansk and Dynamo Kyiv recent form

newest first
Zorya Luhansk DDLWLW
Dynamo Kyiv WDLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zorya Luhansk and Dynamo Kyiv going into this match

league record before kick-off

Zorya Luhansk record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dynamo Kyiv record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kyiv head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Zorya Luhansk wins 3Draws 5Dynamo Kyiv wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-17Dynamo KyivZorya LuhanskUkraine Premier League3-1
2025-10-18Zorya LuhanskDynamo KyivUkraine Premier League1-1
2025-03-11Dynamo KyivZorya LuhanskPremier League2-2
2024-09-14Zorya LuhanskDynamo KyivPremier League0-2
2024-04-04Zorya LuhanskDynamo KyivPremier League0-3
2024-03-12Dynamo KyivZorya LuhanskPremier League2-0
2023-03-18Dynamo KyivZorya LuhanskPremier League0-1
2022-09-03Zorya LuhanskDynamo KyivPremier League3-2
2021-12-12Dynamo KyivZorya LuhanskPremier League1-1
2021-08-08Zorya LuhanskDynamo KyivPremier League1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kyiv odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 18.3%, draw 22.9%, away 58.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.20 4.21 1.62
Bet365 5.00 3.80 1.50
Betano 4.90 3.85 1.60
Betfair 5.00 4.00 1.53
Marathonbet 5.25 4.00 1.55
Pinnacle 5.20 4.07 1.56
William Hill 4.80 3.80 1.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.00 ▼ -1.10
X 4.00 ▼ -0.20
2 1.56 ▲ +0.09

13 snapshots recorded, from .