Zorya Luhansk
vs
Dynamo Kyiv
0 – 2 Full time
| 46′ | V. KabaevK. Bah | ||
| 56′ | M. BoykoG. Rodrigues | ||
| 56′ | D. PoparaP. Budkivskyi | ||
| 63′ | A. YarmolenkoN. Voloshyn | ||
| 63′ | M. ShaparenkoV. Rubchynskyi | ||
| 74′ | D. JelavicItalo Henrique | ||
| 78′ | A. SlesarA. Glushchenko | ||
| 78′ | A. MachelyukJuninho | ||
| 80′ | Jordan | ||
| 80′ | N. MalyshO. Pikhalyonok | ||
| 83′ | V. Brazhko | ||
| 86′ | M. Ponomarenko | ||
| 87′ | T. Mykhavko | ||
| 87′ | P. Budkivskyi | ||
| 88′ | J. LonwijkM. Mykhaylenko | ||
| 90′ | A. Glushchenko |
Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kyiv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kyiv
| Probability | Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Dynamo Kyiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.2% | 31.5% | 35.3% |
| Market | 18.3% | 22.9% | 58.8% |
| Final | 22.0% | 25.1% | 52.9% |
| Edge | +14.9% | +8.6% | -23.5% |
Why Dynamo Kyiv
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zorya Luhansk and Dynamo Kyiv expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.23
Zorya Luhansk and Dynamo Kyiv attack and defence ratings
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kyiv: result vs prediction
Zorya Luhansk 0 – 2 Dynamo Kyiv
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kyiv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dynamo Kyiv | 52.9% | 1.89 | -23.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zorya Luhansk | 22.0% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 52.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.5% |
| No | 53.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dynamo Kyiv win | 15.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 64.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 12.1% | |
| 0-1 | 10.9% |
Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kyiv stats
Zorya Luhansk and Dynamo Kyiv recent form
| DDLWLW | |
| WDLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zorya Luhansk and Dynamo Kyiv going into this match
Zorya Luhansk record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dynamo Kyiv record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kyiv head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Dynamo Kyiv | Zorya Luhansk | Ukraine Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Zorya Luhansk | Dynamo Kyiv | Ukraine Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-11 | Dynamo Kyiv | Zorya Luhansk | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2024-09-14 | Zorya Luhansk | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2024-04-04 | Zorya Luhansk | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2024-03-12 | Dynamo Kyiv | Zorya Luhansk | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2023-03-18 | Dynamo Kyiv | Zorya Luhansk | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2022-09-03 | Zorya Luhansk | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2021-12-12 | Dynamo Kyiv | Zorya Luhansk | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2021-08-08 | Zorya Luhansk | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kyiv odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.3%, draw 22.9%, away 58.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.20 | 4.21 | 1.62 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 4.90 | 3.85 | 1.60 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.53 |
| Marathonbet | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.55 |
| Pinnacle | 5.20 | 4.07 | 1.56 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 3.80 | 1.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .