Ukraine Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 7

Kudrivka vs Kolos Kovalivka

2 – 3 Full time

12′Elias TellesD. Khrypchuk
19′Y. Smyrnyi
25′Y. Smyrnyi
25′R. Goncharenko
30′O. Demchenko
33′D. Khrypchuk
35′M. Ogarkov
36′D. Khrypchuk
39′Y. Klymchuk
42′M. Rosales
46′Y. KlymchukI. Kane
46′O. SavchukA. Ponedelnik
46′O. BelyaevD. Svityukha
46′M. OgarkovD. Semenov
47′I. Petryak
55′D. Ndukve
62′Y. Smyrnyi
67′I. PetryakR. Verley
67′Y. SmyrnyiO. O. Yushchenko
70′D. KhrypchukL. Stankovski
74′A. Tsurikov
78′O. Demchenko
81′D. NdukveA. Tahiri
81′R. OwusuS. Sten
82′M. Burda
84′O. O. Yushchenko
87′A. Tahiri

Stadion Avanhard, LuhanskReferee: K. Zabroda

Kudrivka 25%
Draw 30%
Kolos Kovalivka 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Kudrivka vs Kolos Kovalivka overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kudrivka vs Kolos Kovalivka

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKudrivkaDrawKolos Kovalivka
Model21.4%30.5%48.1%
Market25.7%30.3%44.0%
Final24.6%30.4%45.0%
Edge-4.2%+0.2%+4.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Kolos Kovalivka

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.82.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Kolos Kovalivka below the model: +4.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kudrivka ↓ / Kolos Kovalivk → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 14% 10% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Kudrivka and Kolos Kovalivka expected goals

Kudrivka 0.82
Kolos Kovalivka 1.35

Total expected goals: 2.17

Kudrivka and Kolos Kovalivka attack and defence ratings

Kudrivka

Attack 0.69 -31%
Defence 1.48 +48%

Kolos Kovalivka

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kudrivka vs Kolos Kovalivka: result vs prediction

Kudrivka 2 – 3 Kolos Kovalivka

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

Kudrivka vs Kolos Kovalivka markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kolos Kovalivka 45.0% 2.22 +4.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.0% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score No 57.3% 1.75 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 75.4% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.9% 1.93 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kudrivka24.6%
Draw30.4%
Kolos Kovalivka45.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.0%
Under 2.563.0%
Both teams to scoreYes42.7%
No57.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.0%
12 (either side)69.6%
X2 (draw or away)75.4%
Handicap -1Kolos Kovalivka win23.6%
Push (exactly one goal)24.4%
Loss51.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-114.2%
1-113.9%
0-012.7%

Kudrivka vs Kolos Kovalivka stats

Kudrivka and Kolos Kovalivka recent form

newest first
Kudrivka LLDDLD
Kolos Kovalivka LDDLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kudrivka and Kolos Kovalivka going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kudrivka record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Kolos Kovalivka record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kudrivka vs Kolos Kovalivka head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Kudrivka wins 0Draws 3Kolos Kovalivka wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-17Kolos KovalivkaKudrivkaFriendlies Clubs2-0
2026-05-08Kolos KovalivkaKudrivkaUkraine Premier League1-0
2025-11-07KudrivkaKolos KovalivkaUkraine Premier League1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kudrivka vs Kolos Kovalivka odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.7%, draw 30.3%, away 44.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.84 3.08 2.15
Bet365 3.50 3.20 1.95
Betano 3.55 3.05 2.10
Betfair 3.60 3.00 2.00
Marathonbet 3.92 2.84 2.09
Pinnacle 4.04 2.78 2.12
William Hill 3.50 3.10 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.60 ▲ +0.12
X 3.05 ▼ -0.25
2 2.10 ▲ +0.07

14 snapshots recorded, from .