Ukraine Premier League · 2026-09-18T10:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 7

Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar

1 – 1 Full time

16′			M. Kogut
22′			T. Moroz
28′			M. Jobe
37′			K. Popov
37′			M. KogutV. Faraseyenko
37′			M. JobeG. Robakidze
42′			T. MorozS. Sukhanov
45′			A. Avagimyan
46′			A. AvagimyanD. Klyots
46′			D. UstymenkoT. Lyakh
49′			S. Sukhanov
53′			M. Chekh
57′			C. Mba
60′			M. ChekhR. Volokhatyi
60′			O. SlobodyanD. Myshnyov
60′			C. MbaJ. D. Yoka
61′			K. Prokopchuk
66′			A. ShulyanskyiA. Kulakovskyi
83′			A. Kulakovskyi
86′			O. Pushkaryov
88′			V. Kurko
88′			A. Matkevych
90′			N. Fedorivsky

Stadion Chornomorets, OdesaReferee: Jevgeny Tsybulko, Ukraine

Chornomorets

42%

Draw

31%

Obolon'-Brovar

27%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Chornomorets	Draw	Obolon'-Brovar
Model	54.8%	29.8%	15.4%
Market	37.1%	31.7%	31.2%
Final	41.5%	31.2%	27.3%
Edge	+17.6%	-1.8%	-15.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Chornomorets

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 0.62.
Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
The market prices Chornomorets below the model: +17.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

86%

2+ goals

61%

3+ goals

33%

No goals

14%

Chornomorets and Obolon'-Brovar expected goals

Chornomorets

1.40

Obolon'-Brovar

0.62

Total expected goals: 2.02

Chornomorets and Obolon'-Brovar attack and defence ratings

Chornomorets

Attack

0.80 -20%

Defence

0.84 -16%

Obolon'-Brovar

Attack

0.61 -39%

Defence

1.35 +35%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar: result vs prediction

Chornomorets 1 – 1 Obolon'-Brovar

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Polessya vs Kryvbas KR · 2026-09-18
FC Kharkiv vs Bukovyna — team news & stats · 2026-09-19
Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kyiv — team news & stats · 2026-09-19
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi v Livyi Bereh — match page · 2026-09-19
Kudrivka vs Kolos Kovalivka — team news & stats · 2026-09-20
Karpaty v Veres Rivne — match page · 2026-09-20
Shakhtar Donetsk v LNZ Cherkasy — match page · 2026-09-20

Before and after this match

Chornomorets, previous: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets prediction
Chornomorets, next: Chornomorets – FC Kharkiv, 2026-10-10
Obolon'-Brovar, previous: LNZ Cherkasy v Obolon'-Brovar analysis
Obolon'-Brovar, next: Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR: odds and pick

Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Chornomorets	41.5%	2.41	+17.6%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	67.1%	1.49	—	—
Both teams to score	No	63.9%	1.56	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	72.7%	1.37	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	45.2%	2.21	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Chornomorets	41.5%
	Draw	31.2%
	Obolon'-Brovar	27.3%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	32.9%
	Under 2.5	67.1%
Both teams to score	Yes	36.1%
	No	63.9%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	72.7%
	12 (either side)	68.8%
	X2 (draw or away)	58.5%
Handicap -1	Chornomorets win	28.1%
	Push (exactly one goal)	26.7%
	Loss	45.2%
Correct score (top 3)	1-0	17.4%
	0-0	14.4%
	2-0	13.0%

Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar stats

Chornomorets and Obolon'-Brovar recent form

newest first

Chornomorets	LDWLLW
Obolon'-Brovar	LLDDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Chornomorets and Obolon'-Brovar going into this match

league record before kick-off

Chornomorets record

They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Obolon'-Brovar record

They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
They have failed to score in 5 of 6 matches.

Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Chornomorets wins 3Draws 4Obolon'-Brovar wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2025-07-16	Obolon'-Brovar	Chornomorets	Friendlies Clubs	2-0
2025-04-12	Obolon'-Brovar	Chornomorets	Premier League	1-0
2024-10-04	Chornomorets	Obolon'-Brovar	Premier League	1-0
2024-02-26	Obolon'-Brovar	Chornomorets	Premier League	1-1
2023-09-09	Obolon'-Brovar	Chornomorets	Friendlies Clubs	1-0
2023-08-12	Chornomorets	Obolon'-Brovar	Premier League	2-0
2022-07-23	Obolon'-Brovar	Chornomorets	Friendlies Clubs	0-0
2021-03-26	Chornomorets	Obolon'-Brovar	Persha Liga	1-1
2020-09-20	Obolon'-Brovar	Chornomorets	Persha Liga	2-3
2020-07-15	Obolon'-Brovar	Chornomorets	Persha Liga	1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.1%, draw 31.7%, away 31.2%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.44	3.02	3.24
Bet365	2.45	3.00	2.70
Betano	2.52	2.90	2.85
Betfair	2.50	2.88	2.80
Marathonbet	2.46	2.84	3.05
Pinnacle	2.59	2.80	2.99
SBO	2.45	2.71	2.67
William Hill	2.40	2.88	3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.46 ▲ +0.15

X 2.88 ▼ -0.12

2 2.92 ▼ -0.22

13 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-12T08:10:02Z.