Dynamo Kyiv
vs
Karpaty
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dynamo Kyiv
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Dynamo Kyiv vs Karpaty overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dynamo Kyiv vs Karpaty
| Probability | Dynamo Kyiv | Draw | Karpaty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.9% | 31.5% | 42.6% |
| Market | 50.7% | 25.8% | 23.6% |
| Final | 44.5% | 27.2% | 28.3% |
| Edge | -24.8% | +5.7% | +19.1% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.87, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Dynamo Kyiv vs Karpaty match preview
Dynamo Kyiv faces Karpaty in the Ukraine Premier League with a probability of 49% for a home win, while a draw stands at 26% and an away victory for Karpaty at 25%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0 in favor of Dynamo Kyiv, occurring at a rate of 9%. The expected goals for Dynamo Kyiv is 0.92, compared to 1.24 for Karpaty, indicating a potentially competitive match.
In terms of recent form, Dynamo Kyiv has recorded two wins, one draw, and three losses in their last six matches, while Karpaty has achieved three wins, two draws, and one loss. The head-to-head record shows Dynamo Kyiv with no wins, one draw, and one loss against Karpaty in their last two encounters. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dynamo Kyiv and Karpaty expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.16
Dynamo Kyiv and Karpaty attack and defence ratings
Dynamo Kyiv
Karpaty
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dynamo Kyiv vs Karpaty markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dynamo Kyiv | 44.5% | 2.25 | -24.8% | 1.87 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dynamo Kyiv | 44.5% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Karpaty | 28.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.1% |
| No | 55.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dynamo Kyiv win | 9.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.5% | |
| Loss | 74.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-1 | 13.0% | |
| 0-0 | 12.8% |
Dynamo Kyiv vs Karpaty stats
Dynamo Kyiv and Karpaty recent form
| Dynamo Kyiv |
WWDLWL |
| Karpaty |
DWLDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dynamo Kyiv and Karpaty season so far
Dynamo Kyiv record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Karpaty record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Dynamo Kyiv vs Karpaty head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Dynamo Kyiv | Karpaty | Ukraine Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Karpaty | Dynamo Kyiv | Ukraine Premier League | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dynamo Kyiv vs Karpaty odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.7%, draw 25.8%, away 23.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.86 | 3.78 | 4.04 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.85 |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 3.65 | 4.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 3.59 | 3.97 |
| William Hill | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
18 snapshots recorded, from .