Bukovyna
vs
Polessya
Garuda Lions Prediction: Polessya
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Bukovyna vs Polessya overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bukovyna vs Polessya
| Probability | Bukovyna | Draw | Polessya |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.1% | 30.0% | 35.9% |
| Market | 22.5% | 24.8% | 52.7% |
| Final | 25.4% | 26.1% | 48.5% |
| Edge | +11.6% | +5.2% | -16.9% |
Why Polessya
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.80, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Bukovyna vs Polessya match preview
In the upcoming Ukraine Premier League match, Bukovyna faces Polessya with Bukovyna holding an 18% probability of winning, while Polessya is favored at 58%. The likelihood of a draw stands at 24%. The most probable scoreline for this fixture is 0-1, with a 9% chance of occurring. The expected goals for Bukovyna are 1.20, slightly trailing Polessya's 1.23.
Recent form shows Bukovyna with a mixed record of L-D-D-W-L-D, while Polessya has been more consistent, winning four of their last six matches with a record of W-L-W-W-L-W. The probabilities suggest a competitive encounter, with a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bukovyna and Polessya expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.44
Bukovyna and Polessya attack and defence ratings
Bukovyna
Polessya
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bukovyna vs Polessya markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polessya | 48.5% | 2.06 | -16.9% | 1.80 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bukovyna | 25.4% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Polessya | 48.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.9% |
| No | 49.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Polessya win | 16.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 64.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.1% | |
| 0-1 | 9.5% |
Bukovyna vs Polessya stats
Bukovyna and Polessya recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bukovyna and Polessya season so far
Bukovyna record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Polessya record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bukovyna vs Polessya head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Bukovyna vs Polessya odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.5%, draw 24.8%, away 52.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.28 | 3.90 | 1.79 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 3.90 | 3.65 | 1.80 |
| Betfair | 4.33 | 3.75 | 1.67 |
| Dafabet | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.77 |
| Marathonbet | 4.35 | 3.72 | 1.70 |
| Pinnacle | 4.21 | 3.73 | 1.75 |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
18 snapshots recorded, from .