Ukraine Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Bukovyna vs Polessya

2 – 2 Full time

18′Maksym Bragaru
26′Lindon Emerllahu
30′Vladyslav Pryimak
31′Giorgi Maisuradze
32′Vitaliy Dakhnovskyi
44′Vitaliy Dakhnovskyi
45′Oleg FedorVladyslav Veleten
47′Ruslan Babenko
55′Andriy Busko
62′Oleh·Kozhushko
65′Vitaliy Grusha
65′Oleh·KozhushkoRenat Dadaşov
65′Maksym ZaderakaDanylo Kravchuk
66′Oleksandr NazarenkoIgor Krasnopir
66′Lindon EmerllahuVolodymyr Shepelev
73′Vitaliy DakhnovskyiMor Talla Gaye
73′Vitaliy GrushaVyacheslav Tankovskyi
79′Mykyta KravchenkoBorys Krushynskyi
79′Andriy BuskoE. Odinaka
84′Ruslan BabenkoAndrusw Araujo
90′Vyacheslav Tankovskyi
90′D. Karas
90′Herman Penkov
90′Vladyslav Veleten

Bukovyna Stadium, ChernivtsiReferee: Oleksiy Derevinskiy

Bukovyna 25%
Draw 26%
Polessya 49%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 7
46 Possession % 54
2 Corners 10

Bukovyna vs Polessya overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bukovyna vs Polessya

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBukovynaDrawPolessya
Model34.2%30.0%35.8%
Market22.2%24.9%52.9%
Final25.2%26.2%48.6%
Edge+3.0%+1.3%-4.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Polessya

  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bukovyna ↓ / Polessya → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 10% 8% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Bukovyna and Polessya expected goals

Bukovyna 1.11
Polessya 1.29

Total expected goals: 2.40

Bukovyna and Polessya attack and defence ratings

Bukovyna

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Polessya

Attack 1.42 +42%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bukovyna vs Polessya: result vs prediction

Bukovyna 2 – 2 Polessya

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

Bukovyna vs Polessya markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Polessya 48.6% 2.06 -4.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.1% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.8% 1.97 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 74.8% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.6% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bukovyna25.2%
Draw26.2%
Polessya48.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.9%
Under 2.556.1%
Both teams to scoreYes50.8%
No49.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)51.4%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)74.8%
Handicap -1Polessya win18.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss60.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
0-010.1%
0-19.5%

Bukovyna vs Polessya stats

Bukovyna and Polessya recent form

newest first
Bukovyna LDDWLD
Polessya WWWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bukovyna and Polessya going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bukovyna record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.

Polessya record

  • They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bukovyna vs Polessya head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

1Bukovyna wins 3Draws 5Polessya wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-03-18PolessyaBukovynaFriendlies Clubs0-0
2022-11-13BukovynaPolessyaPersha Liga1-2
2022-09-25PolessyaBukovynaPersha Liga2-0
2019-10-23PolessyaBukovynaDruha Liga - Group A2-2
2019-08-31BukovynaPolessyaDruha Liga - Group A0-2
2019-04-12PolessyaBukovynaDruha Liga - Group A0-1
2018-10-21PolessyaBukovynaDruha Liga - Group A1-0
2018-08-19BukovynaPolessyaDruha Liga - Group A2-2
2018-04-27PolessyaBukovynaDruha Liga - Group A2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bukovyna vs Polessya odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 22.2%, draw 24.9%, away 52.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.32 3.86 1.79
Bet365 4.00 3.60 1.70
Betano 4.05 3.70 1.75
Betfair 4.20 3.60 1.70
Dafabet 4.10 3.80 1.78
Marathonbet 4.35 3.72 1.70
Pinnacle 4.24 3.73 1.74
William Hill 4.00 3.60 1.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.15 ▼ -3.05
X 3.71 ▼ -0.52
2 1.75 ▲ +0.34

21 snapshots recorded, from .