Ukraine Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Kudrivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

0 – 3 Full time

Avanhard Stadium, RivneReferee: Jevgeny Tsybulko, Ukraine

Kudrivka 30%
Draw 30%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Kudrivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kudrivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKudrivkaDrawEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
Model19.3%31.1%49.6%
Market32.9%29.0%38.1%
Final29.5%29.5%40.9%
Edge-13.6%+2.1%+11.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.73.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Epitsentr Dunayivtsi below the model: +11.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kudrivka ↓ / Epitsentr Duna → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 16% 11% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 62%
3+ goals 34%
No goals 14%

Kudrivka and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi expected goals

Kudrivka 0.73
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1.32

Total expected goals: 2.05

Kudrivka and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi attack and defence ratings

Kudrivka

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kudrivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: result vs prediction

Kudrivka 0 – 3 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

Kudrivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 40.9% 2.44 +11.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 66.4% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score No 60.9% 1.64 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 70.5% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.4% 1.99 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kudrivka29.5%
Draw29.5%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi40.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.533.6%
Under 2.566.4%
Both teams to scoreYes39.1%
No60.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.1%
12 (either side)70.5%
X2 (draw or away)70.5%
Handicap -1Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win24.2%
Push (exactly one goal)25.4%
Loss50.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-115.8%
0-014.2%
1-113.6%

Kudrivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi stats

Kudrivka and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kudrivka and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kudrivka record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Kudrivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Kudrivka wins 0Draws 3Epitsentr Dunayivtsi wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-06Epitsentr DunayivtsiKudrivkaUkraine Premier League1-0
2025-09-26KudrivkaEpitsentr DunayivtsiUkraine Premier League2-1
2025-05-24Epitsentr DunayivtsiKudrivkaPersha Liga2-1
2025-04-27KudrivkaEpitsentr DunayivtsiPersha Liga0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kudrivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.9%, draw 29.0%, away 38.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.89 3.29 2.51
Bet365 3.00 3.20 2.10
Betano 2.82 3.10 2.42
Betfair 2.80 3.10 2.30
Dafabet 2.85 3.20 2.47
Marathonbet 3.02 3.20 2.30
Pinnacle 2.81 3.21 2.44
Superbet 2.82 3.15 2.45
William Hill 2.75 3.10 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.82 ▼ -0.38
X 3.20 ▼ -0.08
2 2.44 ▲ +0.27

13 snapshots recorded, from .