Chornomorets
vs
Kryvbas KR
1 – 0 Full time
Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR
| Probability | Chornomorets | Draw | Kryvbas KR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.3% | 25.5% | 35.1% |
| Market | 30.5% | 28.3% | 41.2% |
| Final | 32.7% | 27.6% | 39.7% |
| Edge | +8.8% | -2.8% | -6.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chornomorets and Kryvbas KR expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.20
Chornomorets and Kryvbas KR attack and defence ratings
Chornomorets
Kryvbas KR
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR: result vs prediction
Chornomorets 1 – 0 Kryvbas KR
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kryvbas KR | 39.7% | 2.52 | -6.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chornomorets | 32.7% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Kryvbas KR | 39.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.6% |
| No | 35.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kryvbas KR win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.8% | |
| Loss | 64.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 1-2 | 8.1% |
Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR stats
Chornomorets and Kryvbas KR recent form
| Chornomorets |
LLWWDD |
| Kryvbas KR |
DWLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chornomorets and Kryvbas KR going into this match
Kryvbas KR record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.5%, draw 28.3%, away 41.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.01 | 3.38 | 2.37 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.25 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 3.05 | 3.25 | 2.23 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .