FC Kharkiv
vs
Livyi Bereh
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Kharkiv
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
FC Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh
| Probability | FC Kharkiv | Draw | Livyi Bereh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.3% | 32.1% | 20.6% |
| Market | 59.0% | 24.2% | 16.7% |
| Final | 56.1% | 26.2% | 17.7% |
| Edge | -11.7% | +7.8% | +3.9% |
Why FC Kharkiv
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.60, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
FC Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh match preview
FC Kharkiv faces Livyi Bereh in the Ukraine Premier League with a probability of 42% for a home victory, while a draw stands at 33% and an away win for Livyi Bereh at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with a 15% chance. FC Kharkiv has an expected goals tally of 1.14, compared to Livyi Bereh's 0.79, indicating a stronger offensive performance from the home team.
In terms of recent form, FC Kharkiv has recorded three wins followed by two losses, while Livyi Bereh's last six matches include two wins, one draw, and three losses. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 31%, and both teams scoring is projected at 39%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Kharkiv and Livyi Bereh expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.99
FC Kharkiv and Livyi Bereh attack and defence ratings
FC Kharkiv
Livyi Bereh
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Kharkiv | 56.1% | 1.78 | -11.7% | 1.60 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.3% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Kharkiv | 56.1% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Livyi Bereh | 17.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.5% |
| No | 61.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Kharkiv win | 22.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 52.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.9% |
| 0-0 | 14.9% | |
| 1-1 | 13.9% |
FC Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh stats
FC Kharkiv and Livyi Bereh recent form
| FC Kharkiv |
WWWWLL |
| Livyi Bereh |
LWLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Kharkiv and Livyi Bereh season so far
FC Kharkiv record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Livyi Bereh record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
FC Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
FC Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.5%, draw 23.8%, away 16.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.60 | 4.07 | 5.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 3.75 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.53 | 3.90 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.58 | 3.80 | 5.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56 | 3.90 | 5.52 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .