Livyi Bereh
vs
LNZ Cherkasy
Garuda Lions Prediction: Livyi Bereh
1 – 0 Predicted score · 18% model probability
Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy
| Probability | Livyi Bereh | Draw | LNZ Cherkasy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.6% | 37.7% | 22.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.6% | 37.7% | 22.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy match preview
Livyi Bereh faces LNZ Cherkasy in the Ukraine Premier League with a forecasted probability of 40% for a home win, while a draw stands at 38% and an away win for LNZ Cherkasy at 23%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with an 18% chance. Livyi Bereh's expected goals are 0.93, compared to LNZ Cherkasy's 0.64, indicating a slight edge for the home side in terms of offensive output.
Recent form shows Livyi Bereh with a record of L-W-L-D-D-D, while LNZ Cherkasy has performed better with W-L-W-D-L-W. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 21%, and the probability of both teams scoring is 30%. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Livyi Bereh and LNZ Cherkasy expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.57
Livyi Bereh and LNZ Cherkasy attack and defence ratings
Livyi Bereh
LNZ Cherkasy
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livyi Bereh | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livyi Bereh | 39.6% |
| Draw | 37.7% | |
| LNZ Cherkasy | 22.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 20.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 79.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29.7% |
| No | 70.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 62.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Livyi Bereh win | 15.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 60.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 22.1% |
| 1-0 | 18.2% | |
| 1-1 | 13.6% |
Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy stats
Livyi Bereh and LNZ Cherkasy recent form
| Livyi Bereh |
LWLDDD |
| LNZ Cherkasy |
WLWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Livyi Bereh and LNZ Cherkasy season so far
Livyi Bereh record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
LNZ Cherkasy record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.