Ukraine Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 12

Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh

1 – 1 Full time

16′Nazariy Vorobchak
28′O. Kryvoruchko
45′Andriy MatkevychYevgeniy Morozko
45′Artem ShulyanskyiIgor Medynskyi
60′Dmytro ShastalSéverin Tatolna
66′Maksym ChekhSergiy Sukhanov
66′Denys UstymenkoTaras Lyakh
67′Taras Lyakh
73′Andriy Yakimiv
74′Roman Zhmurko
74′Wendell Florencio BritoN. Voloshyn
74′Vikentii VoloshynDiego Henrique Souza Da Silva
88′Oleg Slobodyan
88′Oleg SlobodyanRoman Volokhatyi
90′N. Voloshynroman geresh

Obolon Arena, KyivReferee: Jevgeny Tsybulko

Obolon'-Brovar 25%
Draw 31%
Livyi Bereh 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

5 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 1
49 Possession % 51
3 Corners 2

Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityObolon'-BrovarDrawLivyi Bereh
Model16.6%32.3%51.0%
Market27.7%30.8%41.5%
Final24.9%31.2%43.9%
Edge-2.8%+0.4%+2.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Livyi Bereh

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.60.
  • The market prices Livyi Bereh below our published probability: +2.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Obolon'-Brovar ↓ / Livyi Bereh → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 19% 12% 1 13% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Obolon'-Brovar and Livyi Bereh expected goals

Obolon'-Brovar 0.60
Livyi Bereh 1.25

Total expected goals: 1.85

Obolon'-Brovar and Livyi Bereh attack and defence ratings

Obolon'-Brovar

Attack 0.60 -40%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Livyi Bereh

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh: result vs prediction

Obolon'-Brovar 1 – 1 Livyi Bereh

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Livyi Bereh 43.9% 2.28 +2.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 71.8% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score No 66.7% 1.50 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 75.1% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.0% 2.04 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Obolon'-Brovar24.9%
Draw31.2%
Livyi Bereh43.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.2%
Under 2.571.8%
Both teams to scoreYes33.3%
No66.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.1%
12 (either side)68.8%
X2 (draw or away)75.1%
Handicap -1Livyi Bereh win24.2%
Push (exactly one goal)26.8%
Loss49.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-118.5%
0-017.0%
1-113.0%

Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh stats

Obolon'-Brovar and Livyi Bereh recent form

newest first
Obolon'-Brovar LLWDLL
Livyi Bereh DLLWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Obolon'-Brovar and Livyi Bereh going into this match

league record before kick-off

Obolon'-Brovar record

  • They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 10 matches.

Livyi Bereh record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.

Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

2Obolon'-Brovar wins 3Draws 1Livyi Bereh wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-21Livyi BerehObolon'-BrovarFriendlies Clubs2-2
2025-05-23Obolon'-BrovarLivyi BerehPremier League1-0
2024-11-30Livyi BerehObolon'-BrovarPremier League1-1
2024-06-02Livyi BerehObolon'-BrovarPremier League1-1
2024-05-29Obolon'-BrovarLivyi BerehPremier League1-0
2023-07-12Obolon'-BrovarLivyi BerehFriendlies Clubs0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.7%, draw 30.8%, away 41.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.34 3.15 2.31
Bet365 3.10 3.00 2.20
Betano 3.05 2.90 2.10
Dafabet 3.35 3.10 2.22
Marathonbet 3.36 2.97 2.21
Pinnacle 3.35 2.99 2.28
SBO 2.97 2.88 2.14
William Hill 3.30 2.90 2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.32 ▲ +0.56
X 2.98 ▼ -0.10
2 2.21 ▼ -0.30

9 snapshots recorded, from .