Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
vs
Kryvbas KR
Garuda Lions Prediction: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Epitsentr Dunayivtsi is the favourite, not a value bet.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR
| Probability | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Draw | Kryvbas KR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.8% | 29.6% | 30.7% |
| Market | 42.7% | 27.8% | 29.6% |
| Final | 41.9% | 28.2% | 29.8% |
| Edge | -0.7% | +0.4% | +0.3% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.6% per unit staked (our 41.9% × 2.25 − 1).
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR match preview
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi faces Kryvbas KR in the Ukraine Premier League with a predicted win probability of 42% for the home side, while Kryvbas KR stands at 30%. The most likely scoreline from the model is 1-0, with an expected goals tally of 1.33 for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi compared to 1.14 for Kryvbas KR. Both teams have struggled recently, with Epitsentr Dunayivtsi recording six consecutive losses and Kryvbas KR managing only one draw in their last six matches.
Historically, Kryvbas KR has dominated their recent encounters, winning both of the last two matches against Epitsentr Dunayivtsi. The model indicates a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% probability that both teams will score. With a confidence grade of C, the match presents an intriguing contest between two teams seeking to improve their form.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and Kryvbas KR expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.48
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and Kryvbas KR attack and defence ratings
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Kryvbas KR
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 41.9% | 2.38 | -0.7% | 2.25 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 41.9% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| Kryvbas KR | 29.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.4% |
| No | 48.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win | 18.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 60.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 9.9% | |
| 0-0 | 9.7% |
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR stats
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and Kryvbas KR recent form
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi |
LLDLLL |
| Kryvbas KR |
LDLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and Kryvbas KR season so far
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.
Kryvbas KR record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Kryvbas KR | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Ukraine Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Kryvbas KR | Ukraine Premier League | 4-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.7%, draw 27.8%, away 29.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.46 | 3.18 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.35 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.17 | 3.40 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.16 | 3.24 | 3.18 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25 | 3.14 | 3.24 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .