Ukraine Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 12

Polessya vs Veres Rivne

2 – 0 Full time

5′Vladyslav Sharay
14′Igor Krasnopir
27′Maksym Bragaru
34′Oleksandr Andriyevskyi
35′Ivan Sanotskyi
37′Mykyta Aleksandrov
45′O. Shandruk
45′Oleksandr AndriyevskyiLindon Emerllahu
45′Giorgi MaisuradzeMykyta Kravchenko
45′Maksym BragaruOleg Fedor
47′Eduard Sarapiy
58′Mykyta Aleksandrov
59′Igor KrasnopirMykola Gayduchyk
68′Vladyslav VeletenOleksandr Nazarenko
72′Wesley PombaGuilherme Bahia
72′Fabrício Yan Peixoto Barros LimeiraAlagie Wally
78′Vladyslav SharayMaksym Smiyan
78′Mykhaylo ProtasevychKonstantinos Stamoulis
89′David NiyoRostyslav baran
90′Mykola Gayduchyk

Tsentralnyi Stadion, ZhytomyrReferee: Roman Blavatskiy

Polessya 77%
Draw 16%
Veres Rivne 7%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

0 Shots on target 0
70 Possession % 30

Polessya vs Veres Rivne overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Polessya vs Veres Rivne

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPolessyaDrawVeres Rivne
Model79.7%14.8%5.5%
Market76.4%15.9%7.6%
Final77.2%15.7%7.1%
Edge+0.8%-0.3%-0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Polessya

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.55 vs 0.56.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Polessya ↓ / Veres Rivne → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 2 14% 8% 3 12% 4+ 14% 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

Polessya and Veres Rivne expected goals

Polessya 2.55
Veres Rivne 0.56

Total expected goals: 3.11

Polessya and Veres Rivne attack and defence ratings

Polessya

Attack 1.57 +57%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Veres Rivne

Attack 0.59 -41%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Polessya vs Veres Rivne: result vs prediction

Polessya 2 – 0 Veres Rivne

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

Polessya vs Veres Rivne markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Polessya 77.2% 1.29 +0.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.1% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score No 59.7% 1.67 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 92.9% 1.08 — —
Handicap -1 Polessya win 58.7% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Polessya77.2%
Draw15.7%
Veres Rivne7.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.1%
Under 2.539.9%
Both teams to scoreYes40.3%
No59.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)92.9%
12 (either side)84.3%
X2 (draw or away)22.8%
Handicap -1Polessya win58.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss20.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-014.5%
3-012.3%
1-010.7%

Polessya vs Veres Rivne stats

Polessya and Veres Rivne recent form

newest first
Polessya WWDWWW
Veres Rivne LLLLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Polessya and Veres Rivne going into this match

league record before kick-off

Polessya record

  • They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

Veres Rivne record

  • They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.

Polessya vs Veres Rivne head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Polessya wins 4Draws 1Veres Rivne wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-05PolessyaVeres RivneUkraine Premier League1-1
2025-09-29Veres RivnePolessyaUkraine Premier League1-4
2025-04-02Veres RivnePolessyaCup0-1
2025-03-11Veres RivnePolessyaPremier League5-1
2024-10-12PolessyaVeres RivneFriendlies Clubs0-0
2024-09-15PolessyaVeres RivnePremier League2-1
2024-07-10Veres RivnePolessyaFriendlies Clubs1-4
2023-12-01PolessyaVeres RivnePremier League1-1
2023-07-28Veres RivnePolessyaPremier League0-2
2023-02-10PolessyaVeres RivneFriendlies Clubs3-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Polessya vs Veres Rivne odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 76.4%, draw 15.9%, away 7.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.24 6.25 12.50
Bet365 1.20 5.50 9.50
Betano 1.21 5.70 11.50
Betfair 1.20 5.50 10.00
Dafabet 1.21 6.40 12.00
Marathonbet 1.19 5.85 13.25
Pinnacle 1.20 6.38 12.11
William Hill 1.22 5.50 13.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.21 ▲ +0.07
X 5.78 ▼ -0.92
2 12.05 ▼ -4.95

9 snapshots recorded, from .