Veres Rivne
vs
Chornomorets
Garuda Lions Prediction: Veres Rivne
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Veres Rivne is the favourite, not a value bet.
Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets
| Probability | Veres Rivne | Draw | Chornomorets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.9% | 36.0% | 39.1% |
| Market | 48.3% | 28.4% | 23.4% |
| Final | 42.4% | 30.3% | 27.3% |
| Edge | -5.8% | +1.9% | +3.9% |
Why Veres Rivne
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.91, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -19.0% per unit staked (our 42.4% × 1.91 − 1).
Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets match preview
Veres Rivne faces Chornomorets in the Ukraine Premier League, with a probability of 42% for a home win, while a draw stands at 30% and an away victory for Chornomorets at 27%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, occurring with a 12% probability. Expected goals suggest Veres Rivne will score 0.73, while Chornomorets is forecasted to net 0.99.
In terms of recent form, Veres Rivne has recorded three losses followed by a win and two draws, while Chornomorets has struggled with six games without a win, including four draws. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 25%, and both teams scoring is projected at 34%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Veres Rivne and Chornomorets expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.72
Veres Rivne and Chornomorets attack and defence ratings
Veres Rivne
Chornomorets
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Veres Rivne | 42.4% | 2.36 | -5.8% | 1.91 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Veres Rivne | 42.4% |
| Draw | 30.3% | |
| Chornomorets | 27.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 75.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.8% |
| No | 66.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Veres Rivne win | 7.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.2% | |
| Loss | 75.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.2% |
| 0-1 | 16.4% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets stats
Veres Rivne and Chornomorets recent form
| Veres Rivne |
LLLWDD |
| Chornomorets |
DLLDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Veres Rivne and Chornomorets season so far
Veres Rivne record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Chornomorets record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.3%, draw 28.4%, away 23.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.91 | 3.25 | 3.94 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .