Karpaty
vs
Kudrivka
Garuda Lions Prediction: Karpaty
2 β 0 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 0.96.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Karpaty vs Kudrivka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Karpaty vs Kudrivka
| Probability | Karpaty | Draw | Kudrivka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.4% | 21.6% | 15.0% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 63.4% | 21.6% | 15.0% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Karpaty
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 0.96.
Karpaty vs Kudrivka match preview
Karpaty enters the match against Kudrivka with a strong probability of winning at 63%, while Kudrivka has a lower chance of 15%. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-0 in favor of Karpaty, with an expected goals tally of 2.14 for Karpaty compared to 0.96 for Kudrivka. Recent form shows Karpaty with two draws and a win in their last five matches, whereas Kudrivka has struggled, losing four of their last five.
In terms of scoring, there is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams have a 55% probability of scoring. Historically, the last two encounters between these teams resulted in two draws, indicating a competitive matchup. The confidence grade for this prediction stands at C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Karpaty and Kudrivka expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.10
Karpaty and Kudrivka attack and defence ratings
Karpaty
Kudrivka
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Karpaty vs Kudrivka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karpaty | 63.4% | 1.58 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% | 1.81 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.0% | 1.18 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Karpaty win | 40.8% | 2.45 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karpaty | 63.4% |
| Draw | 21.6% | |
| Kudrivka | 15.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% |
| No | 44.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Karpaty win | 40.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 36.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.3% |
| 1-1 | 10.2% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Karpaty vs Kudrivka stats
Karpaty and Kudrivka recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Karpaty and Kudrivka season so far
Karpaty record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Kudrivka record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Karpaty vs Kudrivka head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Karpaty | Kudrivka | Ukraine Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-29 | Kudrivka | Karpaty | Ukraine Premier League | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.