Ukraine Premier League Β· Β·Matchday 11

Karpaty vs Kudrivka

Garuda Lions Prediction: Karpaty

2 – 0 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 0.96.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Ukraina Stadium, Lviv

Karpaty 63%
Draw 22%
Kudrivka 15%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Karpaty wins
63%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
55%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 0
10% of simulated outcomes

Karpaty vs Kudrivka overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Karpaty vs Kudrivka

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKarpatyDrawKudrivka
Model63.4%21.6%15.0%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final63.4%21.6%15.0%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Karpaty

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 0.96.

Karpaty vs Kudrivka match preview

Karpaty enters the match against Kudrivka with a strong probability of winning at 63%, while Kudrivka has a lower chance of 15%. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-0 in favor of Karpaty, with an expected goals tally of 2.14 for Karpaty compared to 0.96 for Kudrivka. Recent form shows Karpaty with two draws and a win in their last five matches, whereas Kudrivka has struggled, losing four of their last five.

In terms of scoring, there is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams have a 55% probability of scoring. Historically, the last two encounters between these teams resulted in two draws, indicating a competitive matchup. The confidence grade for this prediction stands at C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Karpaty ↓ / Kudrivka β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 9% 10% 2 10% 10% 3 7% 7% 4+ 6% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

Karpaty and Kudrivka expected goals

Karpaty 2.14
Kudrivka 0.96

Total expected goals: 3.10

Karpaty and Kudrivka attack and defence ratings

Karpaty

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Kudrivka

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.54 +54%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

Karpaty vs Kudrivka markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Karpaty 63.4% 1.58 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.8% 1.67 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 55.4% 1.81 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.0% 1.18 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Karpaty win 40.8% 2.45 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Karpaty63.4%
Draw21.6%
Kudrivka15.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.8%
Under 2.540.2%
Both teams to scoreYes55.4%
No44.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.0%
12 (either side)78.4%
X2 (draw or away)36.6%
Handicap -1Karpaty win40.8%
Push (exactly one goal)22.7%
Loss36.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-010.3%
1-110.2%
2-19.9%

Karpaty vs Kudrivka stats

Karpaty and Kudrivka recent form

newest first
Karpaty DDLDWL
Kudrivka LWLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Karpaty and Kudrivka season so far

league record

Karpaty record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Kudrivka record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.

Karpaty vs Kudrivka head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Karpaty wins 2Draws 0Kudrivka wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-08KarpatyKudrivkaUkraine Premier League1-1
2025-08-29KudrivkaKarpatyUkraine Premier League2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Karpaty vs Kudrivka odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Karpaty Predicted score 2 – 0 Low Bet Now
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