Kryvbas KR
vs
Dynamo Kyiv
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dynamo Kyiv
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 1.12.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Kryvbas KR vs Dynamo Kyiv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kryvbas KR vs Dynamo Kyiv
| Probability | Kryvbas KR | Draw | Dynamo Kyiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.0% | 27.6% | 46.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.0% | 27.6% | 46.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Dynamo Kyiv
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 1.12.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Kryvbas KR vs Dynamo Kyiv match preview
Kryvbas KR faces Dynamo Kyiv in the Ukraine Premier League with kickoff set for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Kryvbas KR has a 26% chance of winning, while Dynamo Kyiv is favored at 46%, with a 28% probability for a draw. The expected goals are 1.12 for Kryvbas KR and 1.56 for Dynamo Kyiv, suggesting a competitive match. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 9%.
Recent form indicates Kryvbas KR has struggled, recording three draws and two losses in their last six matches. In contrast, Dynamo Kyiv has shown strong form, winning four of their last six games, along with one draw. In their last two encounters, Dynamo Kyiv has secured two victories against Kryvbas KR, emphasizing their dominance in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kryvbas KR and Dynamo Kyiv expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.68
Kryvbas KR and Dynamo Kyiv attack and defence ratings
Kryvbas KR
Dynamo Kyiv
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kryvbas KR vs Dynamo Kyiv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dynamo Kyiv | 46.4% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kryvbas KR | 26.0% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 46.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% |
| No | 45.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dynamo Kyiv win | 24.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 53.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 0-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-2 | 9.4% |
Kryvbas KR vs Dynamo Kyiv stats
Kryvbas KR and Dynamo Kyiv recent form
| Kryvbas KR |
DLLDLD |
| Dynamo Kyiv |
WLWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kryvbas KR and Dynamo Kyiv season so far
Kryvbas KR record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dynamo Kyiv record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kryvbas KR vs Dynamo Kyiv head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Kryvbas KR | Dynamo Kyiv | Ukraine Premier League | 5-6 |
| 2025-10-26 | Dynamo Kyiv | Kryvbas KR | Ukraine Premier League | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.