Estac Troyes
vs
Marseille
0 – 2 Full time
| 22′ | Lucas Maronnier | ||
| 45′ | Angel Gomes | ||
| 50′ | Amine Harit | ||
| 58′ | Dermane Karim | ||
| 61′ | Iron GomisRenaud Ripart | ||
| 63′ | Amine HaritKeyliane Abdallah | ||
| 63′ | Amine GouiriNeal Maupay | ||
| 69′ | Kandet DiawaraHugo Picard | ||
| 73′ | Nouhoum KamissokoTochukwu Nnadi | ||
| 77′ | Jérémy Le DouaronAlexandre Philiponeau | ||
| 78′ | Dermane KarimChrist Batola | ||
| 78′ | Mouhamed DiopTimothee Nkada | ||
| 87′ | Angel GomesGeoffrey Kondogbia | ||
| 87′ | Igor PaixãoFaris Moumbagna | ||
| 88′ | Antoine Mille | ||
| 90′ | Patrick Beach | ||
| 90′ | Himad Abdelli |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 37 | Possession % | 63 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 0 | Saves | 3 |
| 281 | Accurate passes | 573 |
Estac Troyes vs Marseille overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Estac Troyes vs Marseille
| Probability | Estac Troyes | Draw | Marseille |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.5% | 20.2% | 27.3% |
| Market | 27.7% | 25.8% | 46.4% |
| Final | 33.9% | 24.4% | 41.6% |
| Edge | +6.2% | -1.4% | -4.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Estac Troyes and Marseille expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.06
Estac Troyes and Marseille attack and defence ratings
Estac Troyes
Marseille
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Estac Troyes vs Marseille: result vs prediction
Estac Troyes 0 – 2 Marseille
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Estac Troyes vs Marseille markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marseille | 41.6% | 2.40 | -4.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Estac Troyes | 33.9% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Marseille | 41.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.8% |
| No | 27.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Marseille win | 12.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.2% | |
| Loss | 72.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.4% |
| 1-1 | 7.5% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Estac Troyes vs Marseille stats
Estac Troyes and Marseille recent form
| Estac Troyes |
LLLWDL |
| Marseille |
LLLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Estac Troyes and Marseille going into this match
Estac Troyes record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Marseille record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Estac Troyes vs Marseille head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-16 | Marseille | Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 | 3-1 |
| 2023-01-11 | Estac Troyes | Marseille | Ligue 1 | 0-2 |
| 2022-02-27 | Estac Troyes | Marseille | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2021-11-28 | Marseille | Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2018-04-15 | Estac Troyes | Marseille | Ligue 1 | 2-3 |
| 2017-12-20 | Marseille | Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 | 3-1 |
| 2016-05-14 | Estac Troyes | Marseille | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2015-08-23 | Marseille | Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 | 6-0 |
| 2013-03-03 | Marseille | Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 | 2-1 |
| 2012-10-21 | Estac Troyes | Marseille | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Estac Troyes vs Marseille odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.7%, draw 25.8%, away 46.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.66 | 3.86 | 2.07 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.25 | 3.75 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.70 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
| Dafabet | 3.40 | 3.70 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 3.60 | 3.80 | 2.04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.54 | 3.71 | 2.10 |
| SBO | 3.11 | 3.50 | 2.08 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
48 snapshots recorded, from .