Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 5

Angers vs Estac Troyes

2 – 0 Full time

35′Iron Gomis
42′Prosper Peter
57′Amine Sbaï
63′Jim Allevinah
67′Noah DonkorLucas Maronnier
67′Timothee NkadaHugo Picard
67′Mouhamed DiopRenaud Ripart
69′Prosper PeterUsman Simbakoli
69′Jim AllevinahHarouna Djibirin
73′Jérémy Le DouaronYacouba Koné
77′Amine El OuazzaniHaris Belkebla
77′Carlens ArcusLillian Rao-Lisoa
78′Yacouba KonéKandet Diawara
85′Amine SbaïAnthony Bermont
86′Yassine Belkdim
89′Antoine Mille
90′Ousmane Camara

Stade Raymond Kopa, AngersReferee: Azzedine Souifi

Angers 42%
Draw 26%
Estac Troyes 31%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 3
61 Possession % 39
2 Corners 11
14 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 3
3 Saves 1
427 Accurate passes 236

Angers vs Estac Troyes overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Angers vs Estac Troyes

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAngersDrawEstac Troyes
Model31.0%23.6%45.4%
Market46.3%26.8%26.8%
Final42.5%26.0%31.5%
Edge-15.4%-3.2%+18.6%

Confidence: Medium

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Angers ↓ / Estac Troyes → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 6% 1 6% 11% 9% 5% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 4%

Angers and Estac Troyes expected goals

Angers 1.51
Estac Troyes 1.77

Total expected goals: 3.27

Angers and Estac Troyes attack and defence ratings

Angers

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Estac Troyes

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Angers vs Estac Troyes: result vs prediction

Angers 2 – 0 Estac Troyes

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Ligue 1

Before and after this match

Angers vs Estac Troyes markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Angers 42.5% 2.35 -15.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.9% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.3% 1.58 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.0% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 69.0% 1.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Angers42.5%
Draw26.0%
Estac Troyes31.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.9%
Under 2.538.1%
Both teams to scoreYes63.3%
No36.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.5%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)57.5%
Handicap -1Angers win14.2%
Push (exactly one goal)16.8%
Loss69.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.6%
1-29.1%
2-17.4%

Angers vs Estac Troyes stats

Angers and Estac Troyes recent form

newest first
Angers DLWLDD
Estac Troyes LLWDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Angers vs Estac Troyes head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Angers wins 1Draws 2Estac Troyes wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-04-20AngersEstac TroyesLigue 22-1
2023-12-16Estac TroyesAngersLigue 21-4
2023-05-27AngersEstac TroyesLigue 12-1
2022-08-28Estac TroyesAngersLigue 13-1
2022-01-23AngersEstac TroyesLigue 12-1
2021-09-26Estac TroyesAngersLigue 11-1
2021-07-24AngersEstac TroyesFriendlies Clubs3-0
2018-01-17AngersEstac TroyesLigue 13-1
2017-11-25Estac TroyesAngersLigue 13-0
2016-04-02Estac TroyesAngersLigue 10-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Angers vs Estac Troyes odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.2%, draw 27.8%, away 27.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.14 3.64 3.64
Bet365 2.05 3.40 3.60
BetVictor 2.05 3.60 3.40
Betano 2.15 3.35 3.50
Betfair 2.10 3.40 3.50
Marathonbet 2.09 3.55 3.55
Pinnacle 2.10 3.60 3.63
SBO 2.15 3.02 3.00
William Hill 2.05 3.30 3.30
winamax_fr 1.84 3.10 3.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.07 ▲ +0.23
X 3.58 ▲ +0.48
2 3.58 ▲ +0.12

27 snapshots recorded, from .