Brest
vs
Angers
Garuda Lions Prediction: Brest
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Brest vs Angers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brest vs Angers
| Probability | Brest | Draw | Angers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.5% | 22.0% | 24.5% |
| Market | 47.6% | 26.3% | 26.1% |
| Final | 49.1% | 25.2% | 25.7% |
| Edge | +5.9% | -4.3% | -1.6% |
Why Brest
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 1.32.
- The market prices Brest below the model: +5.9 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.05, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Brest vs Angers match preview
Brest faces Angers in a Ligue 1 matchup on October 10, 2026. Brest holds a 49% probability of winning, while both a draw and an Angers victory are at 25%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Brest, with a 10% likelihood. The match is expected to see over 2.5 goals at 65%, and both teams are predicted to score with a 64% probability. Brest's expected goals stand at 2.13, compared to Angers' 1.32.
In terms of recent form, Brest has recorded two losses, followed by a win, two draws, and another draw, while Angers has experienced a win, a draw, a loss, another win, a loss, and a draw. In their last four encounters, Brest has secured two victories, Angers one, and there has been one draw. The confidence grade for this match is A, indicating strong predictive reliability.
Brest and Angers team news
Brest news
- B. Chardonnet — calf injury
- G. Versini — leg injury
- M. Diambou — ankle injury
- R. Cagnon — shoulder injury
- R. Le Guen — broken leg
Angers news
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Brest and Angers expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.45
Brest and Angers attack and defence ratings
Brest
Angers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Brest vs Angers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brest | 49.1% | 2.04 | +5.9% | 2.05 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brest | 49.1% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Angers | 25.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% |
| No | 36.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Brest win | 31.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 46.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.2% |
Brest vs Angers stats
Brest and Angers recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Brest and Angers season so far
Brest record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Angers record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Brest vs Angers head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Brest | Angers | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Angers | Brest | Ligue 1 | 0-2 |
| 2025-03-09 | Brest | Angers | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2025-01-05 | Angers | Brest | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2024-01-06 | Brest | Angers | Coupe de France | 1-0 |
| 2023-01-29 | Brest | Angers | Ligue 1 | 4-0 |
| 2022-08-21 | Angers | Brest | Ligue 1 | 1-3 |
| 2022-07-20 | Angers | Brest | Friendlies Clubs | 0-2 |
| 2022-07-20 | Brest | Angers | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
| 2022-03-20 | Angers | Brest | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Brest vs Angers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.6%, draw 26.3%, away 26.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.04 | 3.85 | 3.78 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.05 | 3.65 | 3.55 |
| Marathonbet | 1.98 | 3.75 | 3.68 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00 | 3.74 | 3.74 |
| SBO | 1.98 | 3.23 | 3.19 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
46 snapshots recorded, from .