Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 6

Brest vs Angers

5 – 1 Full time

9′Ludovic Ajorque
15′Ludovic Ajorque
17′Lucas Tousart
30′Kenny Lala
34′Ousmane CamaraEmmanuel Biumla
45′Mama Baldé
45′Marius LouerLillian Rao-Lisoa
47′Prosper Peter
54′Pathé Mboup
59′Jordan Lefort
61′Mama BaldéJoseph Nonge
62′Yassine BelkdimMaël Gernigon
62′Prosper PeterAmine El Ouazzani
79′Kamory DoumbiaNoah Edjouma
79′Joris ChotardMamady Diambou
85′Haris BelkeblaLouis Mouton
85′Pathé MboupIbrahim Yayiya Kanté
86′Ludovic AjorqueDjylian N´Guessan
87′Branco Van den Boomen

Stade Francis-Le-Blé, BrestReferee: Eric Wattellier

Brest 51%
Draw 25%
Angers 25%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 3
54 Possession % 46
4 Corners 5
5 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
2 Saves 4
466 Accurate passes 363

Brest vs Angers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Brest vs Angers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBrestDrawAngers
Model53.6%21.9%24.5%
Market49.7%25.5%24.8%
Final50.7%24.6%24.7%
Edge+1.0%-0.9%-0.1%

Confidence: High · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Brest

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 1.31.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Brest ↓ / Angers → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 10% 6% 2 7% 10% 6% 3 5% 6% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

Brest and Angers expected goals

Brest 2.13
Angers 1.31

Total expected goals: 3.44

Brest and Angers attack and defence ratings

Brest

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Angers

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Brest vs Angers: result vs prediction

Brest 5 – 1 Angers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Ligue 1

Before and after this match

Brest vs Angers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Brest 50.7% 1.97 +1.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.9% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.8% 1.57 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.4% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.4% 2.15 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Brest50.7%
Draw24.6%
Angers24.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.9%
Under 2.535.1%
Both teams to scoreYes63.8%
No36.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.3%
12 (either side)75.4%
X2 (draw or away)49.3%
Handicap -1Brest win31.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss46.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.7%
2-19.6%
2-07.3%

Brest vs Angers stats

Brest and Angers recent form

newest first
Brest LLWDDD
Angers WDLWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Brest and Angers going into this match

league record before kick-off

Brest record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Angers record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Brest vs Angers head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Brest wins 1Draws 2Angers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-17BrestAngersLigue 11-1
2025-09-28AngersBrestLigue 10-2
2025-03-09BrestAngersLigue 12-0
2025-01-05AngersBrestLigue 12-0
2024-01-06BrestAngersCoupe de France1-0
2023-01-29BrestAngersLigue 14-0
2022-08-21AngersBrestLigue 11-3
2022-07-20AngersBrestFriendlies Clubs0-2
2022-07-20BrestAngersFriendlies Clubs2-0
2022-03-20AngersBrestLigue 11-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Brest vs Angers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.7%, draw 25.5%, away 24.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.00 3.88 3.88
Bet365 1.85 3.70 4.00
BetVictor 1.90 3.75 3.75
Betano 1.95 3.60 3.85
Betfair 1.91 3.75 4.00
Dafabet 1.93 3.80 3.85
Marathonbet 1.95 3.78 3.78
Pinnacle 1.95 3.77 3.97
SBO 1.89 3.54 3.60
William Hill 1.91 3.50 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.92 ▼ -0.02
X 3.75 —
2 3.85 ▲ +0.05

48 snapshots recorded, from .