Lille
vs
Le Havre
1 – 0 Full time
| 5′ | Dilane Bakwa | ||
| 22′ | Tiago SantosMaxima Goffi | ||
| 57′ | Gaëtan PerrinHákon Arnar Haraldsson | ||
| 57′ | Olivier GiroudAyase Ueda | ||
| 61′ | Ayumu Seko | ||
| 63′ | Rassoul Ndiaye | ||
| 69′ | Sota NakamuraRayan Fofana | ||
| 69′ | Josh MajaJunior Mwanga | ||
| 73′ | Romain PerraudCalvin Verdonk | ||
| 73′ | Ngal'ayel MukauOsame Sahraoui | ||
| 76′ | Djibril Ouziad | ||
| 82′ | Amir RichardsonKaito Mizuta | ||
| 85′ | Maurits Kjaergaard | ||
| 90′ | Maxima Goffi |
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 47 | Possession % | 53 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 0 |
| 343 | Accurate passes | 378 |
Lille vs Le Havre overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lille vs Le Havre
| Probability | Lille | Draw | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.4% | 22.2% | 23.4% |
| Market | 66.9% | 20.0% | 13.1% |
| Final | 63.8% | 20.6% | 15.7% |
| Edge | -3.1% | +0.6% | +2.6% |
Why Lille
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 1.24.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lille and Le Havre expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.32
Lille and Le Havre attack and defence ratings
Lille
Le Havre
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lille vs Le Havre: result vs prediction
Lille 1 – 0 Le Havre
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lille vs Le Havre markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lille | 63.8% | 1.57 | -3.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lille | 63.8% |
| Draw | 20.6% | |
| Le Havre | 15.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.5% |
| No | 38.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lille win | 32.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 45.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 7.9% |
Lille vs Le Havre stats
Lille and Le Havre recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lille and Le Havre going into this match
Lille record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Le Havre record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Lille vs Le Havre head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Lille | Le Havre | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Le Havre | Lille | Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-08 | Lille | Le Havre | Ligue 1 | 1-2 |
| 2024-09-28 | Le Havre | Lille | Ligue 1 | 0-3 |
| 2024-02-17 | Lille | Le Havre | Ligue 1 | 3-0 |
| 2023-10-01 | Le Havre | Lille | Ligue 1 | 0-2 |
| 2023-07-26 | Lille | Le Havre | Friendlies Clubs | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lille vs Le Havre odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.9%, draw 20.0%, away 13.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.48 | 4.88 | 7.49 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.75 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.75 | 7.20 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.75 | 7.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.43 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 4.75 | 7.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42 | 5.03 | 7.43 |
| SBO | 1.40 | 4.49 | 6.66 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
47 snapshots recorded, from .